That’s… a 50% increase in California from 2014?!?
Isn’t it assumed that any vote for a Democrat is a vote to put a check on Donald Trump?
Yeah, makes cable news all-but unwatchable. Why do this, though? What’s the motivation? (Can’t be just trump=ratings, can it?)
Not that interested in a national poll, given that Hillary won the national vote.
Per the article:
The margins are even more pronounced among voters living in competitive states and congressional districts, with more than 50 percent of them signaling their support for a candidate who serves as a check on Trump.
The benign explanation is: the same reason sportscasters start talking about famous comebacks or famous collapses when the score during a game becomes lopsided - to keep people from changing the channel during a blowout.
The less benign explanation: because the media (especially TV media) is hard-coded to both repeat Republican talking points and to follow up any mention of Democrats with the phrase “in disarray.”
Yeah, the 24-hour media needs a horse race to comment on.
So the generic ballot aggregate kept by FiveThirtyEight is back up to an 8 point spread, with fairly wide agreement in recent polls. Don’t get too excited by the uptick. It’ll down-tick over the next six months and fluctuate.
But it does seem like the immigration debacle and Sessions’ policy of separating children from families could be the driver here.
Quite an interesting look at the 2016 election.
Quaro
3251
Uhh, there are a billion stories about the Trump voters all the time. If anyone had been ignored it’s the urban blue voters.
We’re not real Americans.
The other weird thing about that editorial’s assumptions is that it keeps forgetting that Clinton won the popular vote by 3 million.
Nesrie
3254
White women are mentioned 5 times. Black women not even once. There might be a suggestion that there is this overarching overview and approach but per usual it’s whites and then everyone else, can’t even be bothered to break it down.
Which matters why? I think the point of the article is that trying to frame the 2016 in terms of race or gender ID is a mistake. Trump did about as well as typical Republican presidential candidate, and better than most among minorities.
Hillary did poorly (for a Democrat) among minorities, and didn’t even do all that well attracting women.
As I’ve said before saying Trump voters are racist pigs is unhelpful, and in many case demonstrably untrue. A person who voted for Barrack Obama twice and then voted for Trump is a strange type of racist.
I’m not nearly smart enough to know that the magic formula is for a Democratic candidate that energize African-American and woman voters, but doesn’t turn off whites or men. Although, cloning Obama maybe a good start.
First federal election after the Voting Rights Act was voided by the Supreme Court. The entire premise ignores the idea that there may have been outside forces that kept Clinton from hitting Obama’s minority vote margins.
Were there significant changes in voter composition among those counties that were impacted? Were any of them in the swing states?
Yep. Ohio and Wisconsin in particular have some of the most restrictive voter ID laws in the country, but Michigan and Florida aren’t too far behind.
rowe33
3259
fucking idiot, is what they are.
I’m inclined to agree. When Obama didn’t turn out to be the “magical Negro” that they know from so many Morgan Freeman roles, and resolve all our social and economic problems in 8 years by snapping his fingers (never mind that he had Ryan, McConnell and Co. blocking him the great majority of the time, and Obama was President, not Absolute Monarch), they felt betrayed or something and went full White Supremacist / Know Nothing instead.
God, it must be so dreary to live in a world where you’re the smartest person, and all your opponents are just racists who are dumber than a box of rocks. How do you manage?
About as well as you manage to be comfortable supporting a guy who’s an OBVIOUS grifter, con man, mountebank and White Supremacist to boot, I guess. His whole schtick during the campaign was to beat the anti-immigration drum, and to make his idiot base feel like the brown people were the cause of their problems. But hey, I guess you’re cool with that because rich people got some tax cuts, yay.
