2017: Whither Democrats?

triggercut · 2018-06-13T01:41:44.463Z

Tin_Wisdom:

I’d also note that right now, Barbara Comstock (the GOP incumbent for the VA 10th CD) is only getting about 60% of the GOP primary vote.

Wow, really? That’s just…yikes. 60% for an incumbent in a primary running against no one of interest?

triggercut · 2018-06-13T01:46:25.478Z

twitter.com

(((Harry Enten))) (ForecasterEnten)

In Maine, voters are currently voting to RETAIN ranked choice voting by a 15 point margin. Republican Gov. Paul LePage is an outspoken critic of the system.

1:43 AM - 13 Jun 2018 240 47

bdfinally · 2018-06-13T01:50:04.209Z

RICHMOND, Va. (AP) — A conservative provocateur and supporter of President Donald Trump won Virginia’s Republican primary Tuesday in the U.S. Senate race, and he has promised to run a “vicious” campaign against incumbent Tim Kaine.

Richmond Times-Dispatch

Corey Stewart wins GOP Senate primary in Virginia, setting up 'vicious campaign'...

Last year, Corey Stewart didn’t get to test his theory that Virginia Republicans could snap their losing streak in statewide elections with an unapologetic embrace of Trumpism. On Tuesday night,

Menzo · 2018-06-13T01:52:01.814Z

The Russia-bots and 4chan team will be targeting that race for sure. Trump booster vs. Hillary Clinton’s VP nom? Gotta take him down.

I hope Kaine and his team are using two-factor authentication on their emails!

triggercut · 2018-06-13T01:53:41.599Z

twitter.com

Dave Wasserman (Redistrict)

Rep. Mark Sanford (R)'s increasingly probable defeat in #SC01 means vocally Trump-skeptic Rs essentially have two choices: 1) retire or 2) lose your next primary.* *except in Utah

1:10 AM - 13 Jun 2018 780 380

Nesrie · 2018-06-13T02:15:31.514Z

No is actually saying Stewart is so bad he can’t be elected right… I mean, look at the POTUS and Roy Moore still got votes.

Dan_Theman · 2018-06-13T02:19:37.144Z

mobile.twitter.com

Dave Wasserman (Redistrict)

In WI, Caleb Frostman (D) currently leading Andre Jacque (R) 52%-48% in #SD01 special election for seat Trump won 55%-39%. GOP ahead in another special in Trump-won #AD42 (h/t @Taniel).

2:15 AM - 13 Jun 2018 360 110

triggercut · 2018-06-13T02:55:49.271Z

Nesrie:

No is actually saying Stewart is so bad he can’t be elected right… I mean, look at the POTUS and Roy Moore still got votes.

en.wikipedia.org

Virginia elections, 2017

Statewide and municipal elections were held in the U.S. state of Virginia on November 7, 2017. The main election being held in Virginia was the state's gubernatorial election. In addition, all of Virginia's House of Delegates seats were up for re-election. Primary elections for the House of Delegates and the governor were held on June 13, 2017. Ralph Northam (D) was elected to become the 73rd Governor of Virginia, Justin Fairfax (D) was elected to become the 41st Lieutenant Governor of Virginia, ...

2345

Never say never, it’s politics. But there would need to be an extraordinary turn of events for Kaine not to win.

triggercut · 2018-06-13T02:57:54.119Z

twitter.com

Kyle Kondik (kkondik)

New Suffolk/Cincinnati Enquirer poll of Ohio -- Brown 53, Renacci 37. Cordray 43, DeWine 36. I don't believe any details are up yet except for this short video of the results - cincinnati.com/videos/news/20… - but needless to say those toplines are good (too good?) for the Democrats.

2:47 AM - 13 Jun 2018 240 130

twitter.com

(((Harry Enten))) (ForecasterEnten)

The Senate results look like the others I've seen. The governor results don't. Doesn't mean they're wrong though. mobile.twitter.com/kkondik/status…

2:56 AM - 13 Jun 2018 51 9

triggercut · 2018-06-13T02:58:52.578Z

twitter.com

Larry Sabato (LarrySabato)

VA Republicans now have a big problem. If the race goes as expected—IF—and Kaine wins handily, the undertow for the GOP could produce 2 or 3 gains for Ds in House seats. That’s a real one-state contribution to the +23 seats (net) Dems need nationally.

1:07 AM - 13 Jun 2018 1.4K 420

Again, the “IF” is important. Weird stuff happens in politics. Tim Kaine seems suitably boring enough to be at least somewhat weird stuff averse.

triggercut · 2018-06-13T03:01:30.672Z

Dan_Theman:

https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1006721702615711745

Frostman wins that seat, and becomes the first Democrat to hold the SD-1 state senate district in 41 years.

triggercut · 2018-06-13T03:03:34.754Z

Don’t be worried about Virginia…

twitter.com

ABC7 News (abc7newsbayarea)

#BREAKING: Measure to split California into 3 states earns spot on November ballot abc7ne.ws/2JQiNwC https://t.co/w4v5f1mQ8B

1:07 AM - 13 Jun 2018 5.2K 2.7K

kerzain · 2018-06-13T03:05:52.778Z

What, no State of Jefferson? All those I-5 barn-top banners, wasted.

triggercut · 2018-06-13T03:11:15.169Z

twitter.com

(((Harry Enten))) (ForecasterEnten)

Scott Walker has always marched to okay, not really really close, but sorta close wins with a Dem prez. In other words, he was a check on Prez Obama. Now, you got a GOPer in the WH. You gotta think Walker's in some trouble regardless of any special elex results.

3:10 AM - 13 Jun 2018 210 28

triggercut · 2018-06-13T03:24:25.480Z

twitter.com

Mike DeBonis (mikedebonis)

Sure looks like @MarkSanford, headed toward primary defeat in #SC01, left a lot of money in his campaign bank account. https://t.co/VItrQJEFGz

3:05 AM - 13 Jun 2018 32 22

Well, that’s kind of an oopsie.

triggercut · 2018-06-13T03:31:48.788Z

twitter.com

Dave Wasserman (Redistrict)

Remarkable: after tonight, Dems have nominated women in 73/150 (49%) of '18 House races (excluding Dem incumbents). On GOP side, just 18/112 (16%).

3:21 AM - 13 Jun 2018 6.4K 2.5K

Timex · 2018-06-13T03:32:54.860Z

This is the guy won the GOP primary in Maine.
http://ericbrakeyforsenate.com

triggercut · 2018-06-13T03:41:56.911Z

Timex:

This is the guy won the GOP primary in Maine.
http://ericbrakeyforsenate.com

Angus King might as well concede now.

Oghier · 2018-06-13T05:11:09.008Z

ShivaX:

“So you have a dictator that you worship?”
“I mean, hating the Negro is great and all, but uh… we’re not big on a strong central government.”

I laughed at this. It’s fucking awful, but it’s true.

Sharpe · 2018-06-13T05:53:13.395Z

That split CA proposal is totally fixable: move LA County into “Southern California”, and move the counties from Monterey/Salinas NE to Sacramento into “California”. That’s 3 blue states and 6 Dem Senators. Or better yet, chop LA County in two, put half with Orange and San Diego counties, and half with Riverside/San Bernardino - now we have 4 blue states.