3566

VA10 was “Toss Up”? A district that Hillary won by 10 points?

3567

Guessing they were waiting to see the primary vote breakdown before changing it.

3568
3569

Good info there! So there are 9 currently R seats (mostly vacant) which are at least “Lean D.” There are 22 tossup seats currently held by Rs, so Dems would need to pick up 16 of those and not lose any of their own. That’s within reach with good campaigning.

#tryingnottogetmyhopesup

3570

What? You thought the California Primary ended two weeks ago?

LOL

(They’re counting tens of thousands of provisionals.)

3571

If rohrbacher doesn’t lose his seat, it’s a disgrace. That guy is literally a Russian spy.

3572

Is he giving up his seat for a job at the white house?

3573

Just saw Beto O’Rourke on TRMS. Seems like a sharp motherfucker. It’s too bad he’s going to lose to a piece of shit like Cruz.

3574

Little things like this. Everything suggested that Barreiro, the Republican, would cruise to an easy win. This was almost like an owned seat on the council, basically. And a Democrat, given no chance to win, won…and flips control of Dade County to the Democrats as well.

And it’s only natural to wonder if the news all over the place had some effect. I know if I were in a purple district in Florida, Texas, or California, I’d be paying attention to this.

3575
3576

That moment when you realize George Soros isn’t the final boss!

3577

He is a good person with the smarts to make things happen. The voters are present in Texas to elect him, but we need them to actually vote, which for some reason they don’t do.

3578
3579

So how much of this is about Dems getting stronger candidates than they otherwise would?

3580

Does it matter?

I mean that sincerely. A “blue wave” wouldn’t just be about turning out to vote, it would be about greater enagagement in general. I’m not sure you would be able to separate the two.

3581

I really think that is a real push there. Individuals are stepping up.

3582

I’m thinking that if the quality of candidates is much higher, it could have a much longer term effect on Dem fortunes. Enthusiasm might wax and wane but strong candidates stay harder to beat.

3583

It’s sort of a chicken-and-egg thing. If you have a strong candidate in a district that they aren’t competitive in, they’re unlikely to run; If you have a district that is newly competitive, strong candidates will decide it’s worth their time and money to run there.

3584

Besides odds of winning, I’m thinking there might be a “do my part to help save the republic” factor in deciding to run.

3585

We have a new entry for “Political ad of the cycle”:

It’s an R+10 district, but…maybe?

That’s one expensive ad. And the DCCC are the ones who provided a lot of the funds for it, which good on them.