To invoke a Dan Rather-ism, OH-12 gonna be tight as a tick.
In OH12: O’Connor got 31.2% of Marion County, with the guesstimate that he’d need 32% to win the district. Pretty darn close.
Turnout in Marion 41% of 2016 turnout. Probably less good for Balderson…but hard to say definitively.
Agreed, with all the caveats of special elections being “special”
Not a super-good vote dump for O’Connor just now in Franklin County. We don’t have precinct-level data, sadly, but this was just a bad result for him.
Big vote dumps in rural areas just now and Balderson looks set.
Looks like Cinderella is turning back into a pumpkin.
Probably that’s not gonna get it done.
GOP-sponsored Prop A is headed for defeat in Missouri. Like, by a lot.
in OH12, Delaware is surprisingly coming in even. It went 55.6% Trump, 39.5% Clinton.
We may know who won here by…Election day in November.
And btw, it’s worth pointing out: Sheldon Adelson kicked in $30m to Paul Ryan’s PAC to keep the House in Republican hands.
Fully 10% of the money Adelson promised was spent on Troy Balderson, who leads now by 1,031 votes.
I think this is finally over, at least depending on provisionals.
But Balderson looks set to win by more than the automatic recount margin.
Looks like the margin might be less than the number of provisional ballots, right?
