I mean the last game I ran was so close. And we’re it not for a few well timed plays by the Cylons, humans win. Rowe using the Human Fleet to jettison a 3 distance jump (and the unfortunate reality that the next two jumps were two, and the 3 after that all 3) was perfectly played. That, plus luck on the deck, made the difference.
And the fortune of the damage tokens helped. Losing the hangar at a key moment was brutal.