Boris Johnson already called dibs.

We had to send home an employee in our warehouse, because he came down with a cough and wasn’t feeling well (no fever). We will keep up with him. A vendor’s technician who was working on one of our machines (worked here on Friday too) didn’t show up this morning. We called the vendor - they said the technician came down with a fever over the weekend. He started feeling better this morning and started driving to the plant - then he started feeling bad again and went back home. We’ve asked our vendor to send him to the doctor, get tested for flu, and keep us updated.

I’ll believe when I see his name signed to it.

Absolutely. We should probably use the global value of 3, and it’s hopefully less than that with shutdowns of a great deal of the economy. I was a bit perturbed to hear 5 being used in the briefing…

My expectation is that 100 deaths is the point the country will enact huge sweeping measures, because that’s what other EU countries of similar population have done, and 100 is about the point we’re out of small number statistics and have a clearer idea on numbers.

100 deaths would indicate 10,000 to 100,000 cases, depending on how severe you believe the crude mortality rate to be.

Edit: it occurs to me that very small countries must do lockdowns much earlier as part of their response planning, as they have a much worse idea of infections at the same deaths per capita. It’s also probably a nightmare if your infected population demographics are unknown; hence the changing testing regimes. A lot of this is only just clicking for me now.

Macron just ordered a 15-day lockdown for all of France.

San Francisco is ordering its residents to stay inside and only leave for essential needs.

I haven’t found an official figure, but Moscow Times reports 91.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/03/16/coronavirus-in-russia-the-latest-news-march-16-a69117

the really interesting thing about the uk numbers is the drop in new cases, which preumably indicates that some measure taken 7-10 days ago has had a substantial impact on R. Or it’s numerical noise, or some accidental factor. (It’s not reduced testing, the number tested today and yesterday were pretty similar).

Things will still continue to ramp up though, of course.

The dipshit in chief sure has changed his tune quickly. I wonder what finally got him

Yes, there was a regime change in how testing was done - I believe two changes, actually.

Do we know what’s going on in Africa? Lots of countries with little or no infrastructure already, this could be a knockout punch.

No miraculous disappearance of the virus in April? Some sea change.

South Africa is waking up but quite late. Government is starting to act but most people have been ignoring warnings. My mother-in-law was at an 80th birthday party for a friend two weeks ago, attended by family including people who had flown in from various places in Europe. One attendee, a doctor, has symptoms and is being tested. His mother was the guest of honor, and she also has symptoms. Still, my sister-in-law is attending another large party as I write this.

So is there danger of the virus being transmitted by the packages being handled?

Trump and his clown show are live right now. Looks like they are actually starting to take it seriously? But, I’ve been fooled before!

He is also now saying don’t gather in groups larger than 10, and young people can pass the virus on. By the end of the this he might be a believer.

If he leaves the briefing, you know he’s bored.

He occasionally interrupts an expert to say how no one is ever been able to do anything like this before and how tremendous it is.

Perhaps Boris (the important one) and Rupert staged an intervention to save their portfolios.

I read on CNN that he said the virus is under “tremendous control.” Did he really say that?