My nephews’ school district (Snohomish) is closing on Tuesday. Someone in their transportation department (is, the school buses) tested positive. They’re going to spend tomorrow deep-cleaning the department and buses.
They haven’t ruled it out but I doubt they go with neutral site. They might try visitor’s arena but that would only buy them time until more cities role out bans. And even without bans, I think they’d hesitate to move it to an arena in another city dealing with the outbreak so they’ll probably decide against that as well.
Watch Netflix’s series Pandemic How to prevent a Outbreak and tell me which country has more scientific experts than the US.
Tim_N
1796
How many of them are the administration listening to right now? He was reacting to your statement that the US is a world leader in dealing with pandemics.
Sacramento is only 90 minutes from San Francisco. It must be safe!
nKoan
1798
Exactly! It’s close, they have an arena that is suitable for NHL, and they have a city government that probably won’t pass a ban like this.
PSG and Dortmund playing their UCL match tomorrow in an empty stadium.
EPL, La Liga, Bundesliga, etc. all looking at similar contingencies.
Serie A (Italy’s #1 league) have suspended play until April.
But we aren’t really seeing exponential growth not a world wide or even a country by country basis.
The first month or so there is an exponential growth, but that could be as much due to rapid increase in testing as actual exponential spread of the disease. Both China and South Korea have seen a month or so of rapid growth, followed by a dramatic slowing of new cases. South Korea has joined China in having falling new cases for more than a week now. That’s negative exponential growth. If we were seeing a true r0 of even 2.2 every 14 day we’d have be 220,000 cases not 110,000 over the last month.
Obviously the administration, is filled with idiots. That doesn’t the change the fact that we have a lot experts both at the CDC and at state and local levels. Trump lies about virtually everything but his claim about US being the leader in preparedness wasn’t a lie.
China reduced their R0 to 0.3. Rest of world TBD.
You should rethink your optimisim
I’m not saying this guy is necessarily wrong but an alarming second hand report by a random guy on Twitter should be taken with a grain of salt.
A grain of salt plus garlic in a hot bath, right? I learned that on Twitter.
South Korea appears to be well on the way to doing the same. I haven’t seen reliable data out of Iran. Italy is going to be more deadly just because the population is so old median age of 46 vs US at 38.
Dr. Schoor report sounds bad, but no worse and in many ways significantly better than similar reports from folks both medical professionals and laymen Wuhan back in Jan and early Feb. The conditions in the hospital in Wuhans, were like those in Syria
It is certainly going to get worse in the US, especially as we ramp up testing. But I still stand by this will be under 100,000 deaths and hopefully much much less.
Quaro
1807
I think China and Korea both show you can stop exponential growth 100%, but right now we aren’t doing almost anything those countries are doing.
I think we all hope you are correct but we should be prepared for a lot more.
It mirrors other stories I am getting. 2 Italians on my team at work.
Italys govt didn’t lock down the entire country due to twitter rumours
They cancelled football. If you know Italy and Italians then this should terrify you.
I dunno man…
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/#case-dayly-outchina
Seems like exponential to me. Yes, this might shift if we manage to contain like China, but right now it’s clear the shift in China (and now maybe South Korea) is due to containment measures, not because the natural growth is not exponential.
If Italy’s lockdown works we should see new cases start to stop rising by Friday
If it doesn’t, though…the situation in Italy is bad. This is not just random people on Twitter commenting on this; there’ve been multiple interviews with doctors on the front lines, and what they’re saying in those twitter threads is true.
One doctor told how last week, 12% of the hospital staff were sick, and that at this point he has just stopped counting. They have to assess overall health, age (prioritize the younger), etc., when deciding who should get treatment. For older patients, the rate of hospitalizations and mortality is at a level we’ve rarely seen in modern times.
Here’s the UK version of Trump:
Hey, maybe we can just take it on the chin. Stiff upper lip, chaps.
