CraigM
2009
And money spent servicing the debt is money not put to other productive endeavors.
Just because economic theory doesn’t dictate federal debt is the be all end all, doesn’t mean it’s irrelevant. You have to consider the opportunity cost and reasons for said debt. Also it is preferable to run a surplus in good years and deficit in bad. When the economy tanks running a deficit to stimulate demand and buoy people and industries can have positive effects. And having a deficit to foster better long term benefit is fine.
But running a surplus during good years isn’t a bad thing.
KevinC
2010
Which is what made Trump going full Oprah for the wealthy during this period of economic growth so frustrating to me. I’m fully on board with the federal government taking on debt during downturns in order to mitigate a recession and get the economy moving again, but that’s with the understanding that when economic times are good, we’ll pull back. Instead, Trump blew a hole in the budget in a time when we should be getting positioned better to handle the oncoming recession.
But of course, it’ll be unemployment and other social benefits that get eyed by Republicans when it does hit. I’m sure it’s all a feature and not a bug for the party, but Trump is literally too stupid to understand any of this.
Come on there is basically zero evidence that the balanced budget contributed to mild recession we had in 2001. I’d argue that excess of the dot com era in 1999, who have been worse if we had been running a large budget deficit. Government taxes and moderately high interest rates sucked up some of the silly money from the pets.com of the era.
On the other hand, I can point to dozens of countries were running large and persistent deficit spending lead to a collapse of the countries economy. Nobody really knows what the upper limit of safe deficit spending is. Certainly 2-3% of GDP seem sustainable. 4% deficit to GDP on top of a debt to GDP ratio over 1 is at least flashing yellow and even more troubling with a full employment economy.
They’ve been wanting to starve the beast for decades, of course… the end goal is an economic system that resembles pre-1929 America. At this point it’s some kind of a tug of war between the sheer political popularity of social safety net programs and the GOP’s endless bag of tricks to pull wool over eyes etc.
Matt_W
2013
Agreed. Curtailing debt service and managing inflation are legitimate reasons to run a surplus. There are legitimate political and policy reasons as well.
I just think that running a surplus merely to pay down the debt is a bad thing. The federal economic policy apparatus is not like a household budget. We should be managing taxation and spending according to desired policy outcomes, not accounting ones. The Fed is responsible for managing inflation and employment and bends its decisions to those ends. Congress should likewise be creating budgets according to desired policy outcomes, including economic ones. For instance, Obama’s slow drawing down of the deficit as employment slowly returned was the right way to manage inflation in that situation. Balancing the budget shouldn’t be seen as a goal, rather as a possible outcome of policy choices made for other reasons.
I think the next step will be indentureship. I searched qt3 to see if mentioned and it was, by um… me, 3 times. 12 years ago heh. blimey.
I dunno about you guys, but I want a DENTURED servant. It would be too creepy to have one of those guys with no teeth.
JonRowe
2016
I mean, if they are in-dentured, wouldn’t that mean that they would have dentured? The were in-dentures as it were?
RichVR
2017
I would prefer denatured servants.
antlers
2018
When the average value of unskilled labor is less than the insurance cost of healthcare, we’ll kind of be in the same situation as the early middle-ages, where the poor will have to sell themselves into serfdom in exchange for security.
Won’t work as the serfs will all be robots by then.
So a future of workhouses, bonded labour or slavery will be pointless as those type of low skill repetitive work will be done by robots.
So that leaves what role in our brave new world for the working class… protein supplements for the servant class? and i guess some kind of scavenger class living in the walls and sewers and out in The Great Trump Radwastes.
And anything that can’t be done by robots will be offshored to a place where people will work for almost nothing because the cost of living there is so low.
kerzain
2025
That’s right, make fun of the poor guy’s accent.
ShivaX
2026
Jesus Christ.
It’s like someone stuck a finger in his ass as he was saying it.
He’s the first…object…that ever pronounced that right. Just leave Lou Uumellmahaye alone.
Agree. Just a reminder that we never paid back the then-massive debt from WW2, and now it’s just a rounding error. Governments that control their own currency and can borrow in that currency at favorable rates should absolutely run moderate deficits almost constantly, and should be prepared to borrow big in order to spend money during periods of economic downturn.