It worked for Bill Clinton 28 years ago. I don’t know if it still works.
If I wanted to sink Biden, I’d try to keep comparing Biden to Hillary Clinton in his weaknesses, and that nominating Biden is like nominating HIllary.
rowe33
3679
Fox is saving that for the general election, where they’ll compare the Democratic nominee to Hillary on an hourly basis.
I just kind of think of Biden as Michael Scott, potential and current Biden voters as Tim Meadows, and I’m basically Jan Levinson (not Gould) sitting back, horrified and watching – at first horrified at what Michael’s doing, and then also horrified but fascinated that it sort of works for him.
Things change, but if Biden wins the primary this will be why:
Well, there’s really no direct connection between national polling numbers and individual state primaries. I suppose national polling has some effect in making up the minds of undecided primary voters, but that effect will be marginal, as there won’t be that many undecideds and the numbers in those polls are close enough that no one will be pushed very hard to change by them.
It’s a long way to Iowa. Some candidates will drop out and their support will be redistributed, we don’t really know how. Eventually someone will win Iowa, and someone will win New Hampshire, and more will drop out, and their support will be redistributed.
I see this as totally true.
But I am not so sure about this. LOTS of people are undecided. And polling is persuasive, even to those people who are skeptical about its accuracy.
For example, myself. I have very positive impressions of Buttigieg, Warren, Harris, and Bullock. But I don’t mention Bullock to anyone I talk to because polls.
And when it comes primary day here in my state, I will probably vote for the one of the other three I believe has the best chance to emerge as the Dem candidate. Based on polling. I don’t really know which of the three would make the best president, and I will probably never force myself to form a definite opinion on that, unless by then I see Warren and Harris running neck and neck for the lead.
That’s more or less what I’m saying. You already have preferences, and those preferences are strong enough that you aren’t moved to abandon them by the results of the poll we are talking about. In that sense you are not an ‘undecided’ who can be moved by the poll to support Biden in your primary; you’re ‘decided’ on one of several candidates you think are better than Biden. There are a lot of people like you, and all it takes is for enough of them to converge on one candidate and Biden loses that primary. Once he loses one, he is likely to lose more.
In my case, it’s more stop Biden, so if a consensus comes towards someone I’m lukewarm to like say, Harris, I’d still vote for her.
That’s my big sis hanging with Mayor Pete! (And author Elin Hilderbrand.) Helping him put up those big third quarter number$.
rowe33
3687
Very cool, get those numbers up!
robc04
3688
That’s awesome! Mayor Pete is my favorite candidate at this time.
Leader Biden continues to impress.
I guess it’s sort of true. 10 is more than 6, and he said he didn’t support more. Heh.
He had no chance, and his debate performance was pretty lousy, so it’s best he goes. That said, I remain impressed with the interview of him I saw elsewhere (Bill Maher, maybe). Maybe we’ll see him again sometime?
Timex
3692
He should throw what little support he has behind Pete, they’re both pushing the new generation angle.
I thought the only reason he got into the race was to raise the profile of Gun Control as an issue.
Not Presidential election, but rather indicative of the Einsteins the GOP is throwing up:
Timex
3695
There are times when the sky opens up, and you are presented with the perfection of the universe.
Because no one asked for it, and no one needs it:
Better than running as an independent I guess.
