The ATP Cup matches have been superb. Either hard-fought, close battles or surprising performances by some players. The two finalist teams are Italy (who toppled Spain) and Russia (who defeated Germany).
I would have guessed Spain and Russia would be the finalists — it’s hard to top Spain’s lineup of Nadal, Bautista Agut, Carreño Busta; or Russia’s of Medvedev and Rublev. But Berrettini has been superb, and Fognini produced some brilliant tennis against Carreño Busta, and Italy got through.
Nadal chose not to play; in fact he didn’t play a single match in the Cup due to injury, which seems ominous for his chances in the Open. Hopefully it’s something minor and he’s just being conservative and preserving his chances for the Slam. One consequence of not getting to the final, though, is that he has no opportunity to improve on his ranking points over last year. That now guarantees that Djokovic will remain number one long enough to break Roger’s record, no matter what happens in the AO or the Rotterdam tournament.
Djokovic played very well. His two matches, against Shapovalov and Zverev, were played at a very high level. But the rest of the Serbian team was decimated. Lajovic was hobbled by a bad blister, and in any event was outclassed by his opponents. Krajinovic played brilliantly as a doubles partner for Djokovic against the Canadians, but injured his back in that match and wasn’t available against the Germans. Doubles journeyman Cacic joined Nole against Zverev and Struff. He also played well, and they had several chances to win that match, but in the end the serving by the Germans was just too much for them.
Zverev played very well throughout the tournament, but it looks like he hurt himself playing Medvedev last night. With the AO beginning on Monday, that’s bad news for him.
All in all, it was a good, if abbreviated, follow up to last year. It’s a good tournament concept, the team approach giving it a lot of appeal, and the format mostly guaranteeing high-quality matches between top-ranked players. If there is a question about it, it’s whether it can work as a permanent fixture, played this time of year in Australia. There will be pressure, I think, to allow other countries to host it, which necessarily means moving the schedule around, etc. Given that there isn’t any other obvious ‘break’ in the sport schedule to fit it in, that will be a challenge.