Sorry to hear that Slainte. I was pleasantly surprised to see that my grandfather in catastrophic coverage only went up from $178 to $187. The Silver is $400 and the ACA policy even more. The bad news about a catastrophic is I haven’t been to a doctor in 2 years, I haven’t been sick and the benefits of annual visit are debatable, but still I probably should go.
I agree with you the on problem and mostly agree on the solution. I don’t see any easy path forward.
A couple of months ago, I attended a presentation on investment opportunity regard MRI machine. the Dr giving the presentation was the chief of radiology at the top hospital in Hawaii, and his business partner was a former GE medical exec. So I assume their numbers are accurate. I started to do some calculation that I think might be interesting to the forum.
Total number of MRI machines in the world 25,000
US 15,000 Rest of the world 10,000
Average cost of MRI $10+ million
Average Age of 8 years
Average cost of MRI scan in US $2,600
Now $10 million is a lot of money so hospital try and keep them utilized. I figure 80 hours/week and the operating cost technicans, schedulers, a room, is $300-$600K/year
the total capitals cost of MRIs in the US is over $150 billion or about $500/person
The other 10,000 machine with a cost of $100 billion is spread over about 2 billion people (EU, Japan, and the upper middle class in the rest of the world) or about $50/person
Divide the number by the average life of 8 years and the US is spending about $60/person/year on MRI add in operating cost of 25-50% and $75-90/year of the $9500 we spend on health care is spent on this one device which the rest of the world spend 1/10 as much. I bet there are least a dozen machines like this and we have $1000 we spend per year on these machine vs $100 for ROW.
Now before MRI were available Dr. used X-rays googles say it cost on average $260-400 for X-ray in the US or 1/10 to 1/6 the cost.
Now by all accounts MRI are way way better than X-rays and they save lives. The problem is that most of the time when Dr. orders an MRI scan, he already has a pretty good idea of what is wrong from the X-Ray. Hell a good diagnostician like Dr. House doesn’t even need no stinking test! So a lot or MRI test move the doctors confidence from say 90% to 99% (Made up numbers) that $2300 add cost is an expensive way of upping the confidence level unless of course it is your or your love ones life on the line and then it is cheap.
Here is the real chicken and egg problems. Since the big cost of MRI is the capital cost in makes sense to utilize them as much as possible. With 15,000 MRI spread out over 5,600 hospital in the US that means that virtually all hospitals have one or more. Whereas there only 10,000 MRI for the remaining 65,000 hospital in the rest of the world meaning that vast majority don’t have them. If a US hospital suddenly says screw it we aren’t forking out $10 million for a new one that puts them at big competitive disadvantage vs other hospital. The best Dr aren’t going to work for hospitals without decent equipment.
This means (I’m speculating) that Juan’s dad when he does hip replacement probably doesn’t do a MRI, cause they just aren’t super available but it is relative common do to them in the US. Both my mom and her partner had one before their knee and hip replacements
But this is all needless worry, since I know Donald understand this and will replace obamacare with something that is great and saves us a lot of money.