Nesrie
6022
This support makes more sense to me. A one-percenter is supporting another one-percenter who is just as likely to try to keep the rich rich as he is to do all the other things he keeps saying he will do but probably can’t.
Alstein
6023
Trump isn’t really anti gay-marriage, so I can understand that. Historically he’s been racist as hell, but not anti-gay.
I thought Trump has come out quite clearly against marriage equality for gays.
Trump directly responsible? No. But the media pen is Trump’s invention. He’ll also point and ridicule the folks in the media pen; at one event one supporter yelled bitch at MSNBC Katy Tur. And the SS agent taking on thuggish behavior by osmosis, a symptom that brutality is acceptable behavior. (Ok, maybe a stretch there.)
Is this america’s ‘Nero’ moment?
That’s a recent thing, he’s previous been in favor of it- which I assume is his real position.
This, and the idea that if a bufoon like Trump was President, all the technocrats, generals, and high-ranking bureaucrats would simply do whatever they wanted, secure in the knowledge that no one was actually minding the store.
wahoo
6029
It’s the Executive Order/regulatory enforcement powers that would make Trump so scary. Any corporation like probably most individuals would fail intense regulatory review/IRS audits. Trump could audit the hell out of someone and everyone makes mistakes on tax interpretations. Including the IRS!
I did my part and voted for Bernie this morning. Hopefully he carries MA but the news is saying otherwise, that he’s going to get obliterated today. Without Bernie we have no hope of stopping the Trump Train.
Now that I’m running the Drumpfinator, “Trump Train” makes way more sense as “Drumpf Drain.”
Who the hell knows anymore? He’s a pathological liar.
Oghier
6034
In national polls, both Bernie and Hillary beat Trump. Bernie’s margins are better, and national polls are not the best predictive tool for the electoral college. Still, it seems to me that both candidates are quite likely to beat Trump in a general.
The only thing I worry about is Hillary’s email. I seriously doubt she was dumb enough to commit a felony, but smart people make stupid mistakes on occasion. Or perhaps there will be proof that the Chinese hacked her server. I put both of these in the “quite unlikely, but potentially disastrous” category. As I understand it, though,that would allow the party to pick another candidate, as long as it happened prior to the electoral college vote. So, we’d get Bernie (or possibly Biden, but almost certainly Bernie).
That’s why Bernie should stay in the race, even if Clinton wraps it up in March. He should continue to build his organization and brand. There’s a slight, but worrisome chance we may need him. Also, a series of Bernie vs Trump debates would be freaking fascinating.
Sanders also beat Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) by eight points and beat Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) by 17 points in head-to-head match-ups.
…
Clinton lost to Rubio by three points and lost to Cruz by one point in head-to-head match-ups.
I don’t think people like Hillary Clinton. She’s losing in polls to Rubio and Cruz, who are both terrible human beings.
I’ve been saying that Trump will eviscerate her, and I mean it. He’s going to drag out every last scandal, every rumored malfeasance by her or Bill, and hammer on it non-stop. Do you think Trump will hesitate to drag out Vince Foster? Shit he’d probably exhume him at a rally. It doesn’t matter if it’s true or not, if it’s been disproved or not, Trump’s supporters are morons. Hillary can’t win by ignoring it because WHAT ARE YOU HIDING, and she can’t win by addressing it because she’d be going into the muck with Trump where he excels.
Trump fills football stadiums with working class people, Hillary speaks to rich white people in hotel conference rooms and bankers behind closed doors. I’m feeling really hopeless right now. Timex is right, we’re fucked.
From what people have rumored, Clinton’s campaign for a general election vs. Trump is going to go heavily negative. If there is one person in this world who may have more scandals (true or not) associated with them than the Clintons, it’s Trump. There will be plenty of blood in the water, trust me on that one. The difference is going to be how such things will impact voters; Foster and Whitewater are old news in politics. They’ll impact the younger voters who weren’t around then, but the younger voters are the less reliable group. Instead, we’ll see ads running about the alleged ties that Trump’s father had to the KKK, and other things along those lines. And yes, you and I have probably seen the many of those types of things on Facebook or wherever, but the reach and impact are a bit different when it’s running on networks.
Oghier
6037
Among likely voters, Clinton’s past ‘scandals’ are a known quantity. As much as she enrages the GOP base, I cannot imagine any of this stuff changing Hillary voters into non-Hillary voters in the general. The one potential bomb is the email server. The fact that the FBI is working it suggests that one cannot assume it’s just more of the same, Fox-driven Benghazi-style bullshit.
We could end up with a brokered convention on the GOP side, with part of the party splintering away (the Trumpistas, the Tea Party or some other conservative coalition). We could potentially see the democrats have to replace their nominee at or even after their convention. That much chaos in our already “not quite dead yet” political system could have tremendous effects on everything from the markets to foreign affairs.
I’m not sure I can roll my eyes at Wallapuctus with more vigor, but whatever. He and Timex can go buy a rowboat together.
At any rate, one thing that it seems as if we (or at least I do, personally) is how early voting can impact a race.
For instance, Marco Rubio’s hope–and the GOP establishment hope–is that Rubio performs well today in Super Tuesday and then springboards off that, with some consolidation, into at least stopping Trump until the convention. But, here’s the problem…early voting.
Taniel @Taniel
a Florida update, via @electionsmith: 320K Republicans have already voted, absentee or in-person. (That’s 19% of 2012’s total electorate…)
Taniel @Taniel 2m2 minutes ago
If these voters giving Trump something like the 20% lead he has in current average, steep hill for Rubio to climb—even if electorate expands
As a matter of course, almost any campaign against Trump will go heavily negative. Not sure there’s anyway around it. She may try to stay on the high ground personally while letting Bill and Obama and assorted PACs make it a streetfight.
What is heartening, according the NYT story on Clinton’s preparations for Trump, is that they’re taking him very seriously and not dismissing his chances. They’re preparing for a fight from the outset.
Oghier
6040
I think the days of people underestimating Trump’s appeal or expecting him to implode are well and truly done.
Well, in the Times story there were some DNC folks who were expecting out of hand to win easily against him in November, and Bill spoke up and put the kibosh on that sort of mindset.
