Not sure that matters here at this point. Kavanaugh is going to be on his heels if it even gets there.
(That would be Democrats, doing something.)
The GOP is insane not to pull the nomination. There is literally only one loss condition for them: delays. If they pull him, they easily have time to get someone in just as good/bad but less rape-y. Keeping him around just increases the sliver of a chance that the next Senate will pick the nominee. This is starting to resemble the tortured path/own goal to getting a Democratic Senator from Alabama.
I also feel that there is no way BOTH of the following two statements will be true:
- Kavanaugh sits on the Supreme Court
- Republicans keep control of the Senate
They need to pick which one they want (which should be an easy decisionâŠ)
I agree. I was even going to frame it as a question for progressives here: âWhich would you prefer more: get control of both houses of congress in November, but Kavanaugh confirmedâŠor lose the senate but Kavanaugh is pulled as a nominee?â
Also, I wonder when parties will start nominating more women because of, you know, obvious advantages.
RichVR
2060
Put me squarely in the both houses group. Because otherwise, we still get a conservative judge. But no other gains.
HumanTon
2062
I certainly didnât know this until just now:
If I were a Senator this would disqualify Kavanaugh right there: if you only have nine lifetime appointees to represent a third of a billion people, you really donât need two of them to have gone to the same high school, especially one as Inside-the-Beltway snobbish as Georgetown Prep.
(Why arenât the âshake up the systemâ âfight the Deep Stateâ âdrain the swampâ Trump fans concerned about Trumpâs two nominees coming from a school thatâs basically a cartoon caricature of DC establishment privilege? Never mind, itâs a rhetorical question.)
Oghier
2063
Also, Anne Applebaum was one year ahead of Cavanaugh at Yale. Doubt they knew each other â different crowds (and itâs a big school).
Papageno
2064
Regarding the âlose the battle but win the war choiceâ you guys present: the chances of the Senate going Democrat are still only 1 out of 3 last I heard, so the Republicans may still go with the odds and ram this nomination through, figuring that, even if they lose the Senate in November, trying to impeach a Supreme Court Justice still takes 67 votes and that ainât happening. OTOH, they probably do improve their already-decent chances of keeping the Senate by getting Trump to pull Kavanaugh and nominate another Federalist Society darling who will sail through if the GOP keeps the Senate, but unfortunately wonât be seated till 2019.
tomchick
2066
Another Senate term with a Republican majority? Or the two-ish decades remaining in Kavanaughâs lifespan with a Supreme Court judge protecting the Trump administration from consequences for its corruption and abuses of power? Thatâs an easy choice.
-Tom
Timex
2067
Interesting implication of the new Yorker article, is that the new Yorker likely approached Grassley about this new stuff on Tuesday of last week, and his response was to try and rush the vote through.
Which is why the GOP would be crazy not to choose option number three (a different candidate now before itâs too lateâŠ)
I hope they stick with Kavanaugh as long as possible because either he doesnât get on the Court or they lose the Senate⊠maybe both!
ShivaX
2069
Itâs insane theyâre focused on Kavanaugh when Gorsuch proved that anyone without insane baggage that isnât shifty as fuck can get through without issue. Gorsuch was literally a stolen nomination and passed without much fuss.
Pick someone fucking else from the list.
Remember however that the Dems mostly kept their powder dry fighting Gorsuch⊠and they kept it dry precisely for the fight weâre witnessing right now.
ShivaX
2071
I mean itâs Avenatti, so big grain of salt.
ShivaX
2072
Hey I found the dumbest person in the country.