5469

I think they should mix it with a reenactment of the scene in Dances with Wolves where the nutso major is talking to Costner “Sir Knight! I’ve pissed my pants and there is nothing anybody can do about it”

5470
5471

That’s actually brilliant. They should do exactly that.

5472

Yeah, see how long Baldwin can continue before he cracks.

5473

I’m sure this is fake, but it made me laugh.

5474

holy shit that was nutty unhinged: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/craziest-moments-trump-press-conference-leaks-russia

5475

I can’t seem to find a full transcript that actually IS the full transcript, including every question at the end.

5476
5477

Here’s a question…

Why do the Rasmussen polls show Trump with a positive approval, while all others show a negative?

What is the specific, scientific source for this constant discrepancy? I’d like to see a detailed analysis, if anyone has it.

5478

Not a full one, but the WaPo annotated transcripts are pretty good. I get the impression they are still working on it.

5479
  1. Rasmussen is still landline (it uses something they call an online survey tool to capture non landlines, but do not call them.)
  2. Wording of questions in poll
  3. Sample weighting (Rasmussen weights Republicans higher than any other pollster, in defiance of demographic declarations.)
5480
5481

I don’t have a detailed breakdown, but it is an automated poll rather than live, which tends to lower its “trustability”.

5482

Is there info available on this? I’d like to see the way they word stuff, and how they weight stuff, but can’t find any info for it.

5483

From 2012, but I doubt they’ve changed much.

5484

They’re just not very good. Based on their track record they’re only a C+ pollster.](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/) (Linked page is from last August .)

Less scientific consensus from the Progressive blogosphere: they’re completely in the tank for the Republicans in non-Presidential years, then clean their acts up enough during Presidential elections when people are actually paying attention to keep their house bias from being too obvious.

5485

After skimming through the WaPo transcript it doesn’t seem that bad as far as Trump goes, esp the initial statements.

All things considered I think we’re supposed to take this as a relatively reconciliatory from his part to the press? Maybe this is just a sign of my (now) low standards though.

5486
5487

That was some seriously crazy shit. Can you imagine a respectable President saying any of it? Asking a black reporter if she’s friends with the Black Caucus? Insulting a Jewish reporter about a question he didn’t even ask (and ignoring his actual question altogether?). That weird uranium and nuclear holocaust bit? Could go on and on…

5488

image.jpg1190×704 172 KB

You can take the survey here:

https://action.trump2016.com/trump-mms-survey/

The survey (as-is) was used before during the election run. For whatever reason, Trump’s people sent it out again with this new eamil. I’m guessing to gauge his badass takedown of the liberal media during today’s briefing.