Thrag
3193
For reference, Clark (Vegas) makes up about 70% of the population, Washoe (Reno plus all the nothing north of it until the border) about 15%. The remaining ~15% are all the other counties combined.
That last tweet from Ralston has a different tone on the race than he’s been using up to now. Hmmm.
We win Arizona and Georgia we don’t need those slowpokes. I hate this so so much.
The provisional ballots are scary too. Those are late-breaking votes and Trump seems to doing well with people who voted later in the process.
So much this. So, so much money was thrown at Amy McGrath in Kentucky…and she lost by 20 points. Same for MJ Hegar in Texas, who lost by 10.
I get people donating to Harrison in SC, Gideon in Maine, and Greenfield in IA. Even Bollier in KS, Bullock in MT and Gross in Alaska. There were times when those races looked competitive.
But McConnell and Cornyn were never gonna lose. And the Democrats facing them just RAKED cash.
How good a value are we talking? For everyday I buy a decent Spanish red called Protocolo that comes to $6.60 a bottle with case discount, so that’s about my speed.
1000 posts in this thread since I last opened it yesterday evening. I can’t keep up with you guys! =)
Hoping the Arizona and Nevada numbers solidify today and make Georgia and Pennsylvania unnecessary (but still welcome as it would provide a defense against faithless electors.)
Amy McGrath was an outstanding candidate and she deserved support. At times some polling had her much closer than 20 points. I didn’t expect her to win either but with the national polls there sure seemed like a possibility of a big night for Democrats.
Matt_W
3201
Were there races this cycle that could’ve used more cash than they got? My impression was that election coffers were generally well stuffed.
A little weird to hear this after all the “It’s Trump’s party” / “Trumpism IS Republicanism” / “They’re all the same” rhetoric. Maybe that wasn’t from you, Scott, but if this becomes the common wisdom on the left it feels like a bit of a 180. (It’s what I was expecting the whole time. I think these guys always hated Trump and saw him as a burden they had to carry more than an ally or a boon.)
Every time someone tweets “Buckle up” I punch myself right in the nuts.
KevinC
3205
As someone who lives in a smaller, redder, state I will say that seeing outside cash flood in an election here would probably have opposite the intended effect, if it were disproportionate to one candidate. This my opinion of course, I don’t have statistical analysis to back it up. A bunch of outside money going to Ben McAdams would just feed into the narrative they want to portray, that he’s a pawn of Nancy Pelosi and all those other coastal elites. That sort of thing.
Koz
3208
Buckle up also implies it’s about to get bumpy or something. This is the slowest moving rollercoaster ever.
Every time I think I won’t open this thread and then do, I punch them again.
Matt_W
3211
Where does DDHQ get their “% in” number from. Here’s Vox’s graphic on PA right now:
By my count, only about 91.5% of ballots have been counted.
God damn I hate ambiguous tweets. You’re the analyst Wasserman. Say what it means.
