3393

350,000 of the outstanding ~600,000 is 65%. Biden has pulled about 76% of all mail-in ballots counted so far.

3394

Would you want to work with criminals?

3395

I’m pretty sure we won’t have any type of concession speech either. Can’t remember that happening anytime in modern elections.

3396

He’ll have one, but it’ll just be a series of Twitter rants.

3397

They don’t care about democracy. I mean they just don’t. They want libs to cry. For them it’s more like a high than a governmental and social process.

3398

If I was Biden I would plan on all the transition info coming from Trump to be useless, misleading, or false.

3399

“From Hell’s heart I stab at thee. For hate’s sake I spit my last breath at thee.”

Wait, that’s much too articulate.

3400

If these trends continue (Biden picks up 76% of remaining mail-in ballots) he’ll win by about 150,000 votes.

3401
3402

So I don’t come in P&R much, but I saw this, and I have checked some of these names in the Michigan voter portal, and…this report seems to be accurate with what the portal is reflecting.

Can someone please explain what’s going on here? I’m not one to jump on board the whole “voter fraud” train, and I’m not like sharing this on FB or whatever to stir up shit, but I really don’t know what to make of this.

https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/blogs/tim-blair/dead-devoted-to-democracy/news-story/c7b9ffe8284913a13c20587e190c6e30

3403

There’s also a tradition where the outgoing president leaves a private letter for the incoming president. I bet Trump doesn’t do that either. Or, if he does, he writes it with huge letters with a sharpie.

3404

Or crayon.

3405

I don’t want to jinx this, but Georgia increasingly looks like a Biden win

3406

Are you asking if Republican assertions of voter fraud at a scale large enough to sway an election are true?

Because that feels like a troll if so.

They’re not true. They’ve never been true. There is no evidence of it at all.

3407

I mean if I had to put my money on it I would put it on Biden, but I’d be really worried about making my mortgage payment.

3408

This is what Wasserman was suggesting last night. I was skeptical… I’m less skeptical now. The numbers for the mail-in ballots are just ridiculously in Biden’s favor, even from red counties.

Which does make sense… all the democrats I know here voted by mail. But the precincts had super huge lines. I’m pretty sure all the GOP folks voted in person.

So even from red counties, all those mail in ballots they’re counting now are from Democrats.

3409

Nate Silver

Nov. 5, 12:53 pm

Because turnout was so high, Biden is likely to wind up with one of the higher percentages of votes as a share of the U.S. population that we’ve seen in a long time:

vote share * turnout

Reagan 1984: 53.358.8= 31.3%
W Bush 2004: 50.756.7=28.7%
Obama 2008: 52.9*58.2=30.8%

Biden 2020, estimated: 5166 = 33.7%
counted so far: 50.560.3=30.4%

— Jacob T. Levy (@jtlevy) November 5, 2020

3410

So regarding Nevada. People were talking about how sparse it is. And I can first hand confirm, as I’ve seen a decent spread of the state in my few trips through.

For context, Nevada has just over 3 million people. Over 2 million are in Clark County (Vegas), nearly another half million in Washoe (Reno). Aside from those 2, there is not a single county in Nevada that has more people than my city (Hillsboro, OR), and all other counties combined have less population than my county (Washington).

3411

Already done my friend…

image

3412