Houngan
1707
Hrmph. That’s the kind of best case scenario thinking that I refuse to entertain right now.
Did you read the thread? It’s a realistic look, hardly best case.
Timex
1709
It’s important to note that this pace is almost certainly NOT going to continue.
Most of the mail in ballots counted so far have been from Philly.
The mail in ballots from the rest of the state are not going to skew that heavily to Biden.
wahoo
1711
I think pollsters have a hard time getting working class/non voters in their sample. It’s much easier to have access to cell and take a phone call from white collar jobs. Pollsters have constantly overstated voter turnout based on bad education models.
And the failure to breakout the hispanic vote better is key.
Again, you see the new GOP coalition forming anew as a multicultural, religious working class entity.
Say what you will about Parscale, but his microtargeting on Facebook worked amazingly well, and far better than any slick political ads.
Lying works. Goebbels knew that, and now so does the GOP.
wahoo
1715
Right now the Supreme Court is hearing a lawsuit over where A democratic city can banish Catholic charities who won’t place kids with same sex couples. What key demographic group is heavily Catholic?
Always remember that most people are economically left and culturally right. That’s where Hawley/Rubio want to go.
So, sounds like Nevada has maybe 60k outstanding ballots from Clark and Washoe that should extend the Biden’s 8k lead
Diddums
1718
At least the hoi polloi will be able to get high in the new hellscape.
South Dakota! Montana! Couldn’t Biden have posed with a bong?
Grifman
1719
Just look at the NYT map at the Atlanta metro blue counties. Fulton is in, the only other big county is DeKalb at 80%. There are not enough votes there. There are some smaller blue counties there at 89% but they are too small. Would love to be wrong though. Please prove me wrong :)
There are 400k remaining votes. Biden is down by 100k.
Damn, sorry for your loss.
I didn’t know that, but even I as someone far left thinks that private religious charities can adhere to their tenets so long as they don’t accept public money. That’s an over reach by government, as much as the government telling citizens they have to abide by religious tenets.
As for being culturally right? I don’t know, maybe. I think it skews more libertarian if anything.
jpinard
1723
Can’t keep doing this every 2 and 4 years. Trying to hold back a Nazi wave is way too stressful. Wish things could go back to the sane presidential political races of the Eisenhower era.
Make America Great Again?
Enidigm
1725
But there aren’t that many more of us.
BTW, if PA comes in for, our published predictions of 11 battleground states goes 11 for 11.
Also: we’re not pollsters.
Enidigm
1727
You guys seem like the future… whoever you are ;)
BTW, wasn’t there another guy on the forum, RayRayK? How did his predictions turn out? He was saying that he had insider info or was some kind of political analyst but without details.
