1728

Nope, the racist landscape of the 50’s was horrifying. But at least we had honorable individuals running for president on the Republican side.

1729

My current light reading list.

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1730

I’m pretty sure I fell for the thing I was warned repeatedly to not fall for. The allure of Florida going blue made it easy to panic early, regardless of the number of warnings.

So does Florida count votes fast due to the hanging chad incident? Or is it just the one thing they’re good at?

1731
1732

I take my comfort where I can!

1733

Sorry for your loss.

1734

I know - let’s elect this R who died from COVID-19 a month ago!

1735

They’re good at it. And it’s the result – kind of – of 2000. Since then, they’ve done work to educate and to some extent try to standardize ballots across the various counties in the state. They also try to keep major general election ballots fairly “clean” as much as they can, regarding ballot initiatives.

And Florida law allows counties to begin processing and counting ballots 22 days before election day. Which obviously helps.

1736

Certainly Adlai/Ike seems like a considerably more genteel contest. But that was happening in the context of a 1950s America where the black vote was still openly suppressed in the South, where second-wave feminism hadn’t started, where LGBTQ citizens were completely marginalized, etc.

Maybe politics can’t be that genteel for a while now that more voices are being heard. I dunno.

1737

If Biden wins, the number of Trumpy confrontational anti-maskers is going to skyrocket along with a wide swath who just refuse to wear them.

1738

Colorado had a whopping 83% turnout. Everyone should vote like Colorado

1739

Oh man Kevin, I’m so sorry for your lose. :(

1740

A bunch of them will die like gorillas in the winter, so the problem will solve itself.

1741

I think progressives lean too heavily into the replacement hypothesis, the “die out and go away” theory of Conservative defeat. This… isn’t going to happen, at least not in our political lifetimes anyway.

The way to defeat conservatives is to tackle them on their own turf, not withdraw and hide behind blue walls in the urban areas.

1742

This case is about public money.

For decades, Catholic Social Services has been one of the leading agencies with which Philadelphia contracts to find, screen and certify potential caregivers for the nearly 5,000 children in the city’s foster system. But when a 2018 Inquirer article noted CSS’s policy of refusing to consider unmarried and same-sex couples and efforts by the city to negotiate a solution failed, Philadelphia canceled its contract with the agency, landing the issue in court.

1743

Too bad they can’t do it without hurting people trying to do the right thing.

1744

Glad to see my predictions are largely working out, I am surprised in how competitive Nevada is playing at. Republican and allied outside group ground game was really good this cycle, with big registration and GOTV numbers. Democrats continue to make the mistake of depending to heavily on advertising instead of boots on the ground. None of this is to say that Trump will win, Biden has the easiest path to victory right now, but ground game is one of the factors polling continuously misses.

As some have pointed out above, polling/prediction/modelling on the Presidential level needs to be heavily revised and its scientific veneer shouldn’t be taken too seriously. The public polling companies are often not rigorous enough in their training and methodology, while modelling/prediction outfits often used unfounded assumptions in how they weight various polls and past elections. It’s in contrast to private polling companies which are really making some pretty good strides.

1745

I’m just glad I woke up this morning and COVID-19 IS GONE! Magically disappeared. Thank you, Mr. President, Sir!

1746

I don’t think they will die out and go away; I’ve been hearing that all my life, and I don’t buy it.

I’m just saying right now, there are more of us than of them. And there were in 2016. It obviously ain’t the ballgame (see: 2016) but as I say I will take what comfort I can.

1747

If folks were not motivated enough to flip the Senate with 1/4 of a million deaths, COVID spiking, BLM, social and commerce society on fumes, endless scandals, the current president, so on and do on… I can’t see a better outcome during the 2022 midterms.

A big take away I am getting from November 3rd is that there is a serious, SERIOUS problem with news, “news”, and how the electorate acts on both. Given last night, I don’t see how I am not going to get to see the dystopian chapters of climate change and their dreadful new reality for the two girls I am raising.