The Mother 'Effin WEATHER Thread

Yes. You hope for that silently while telling him you hope for the best and saying that everything will be alright.

WHICH OF COURSE IT WILL BE.

We hope. Sincerely.

Yeah, I mean yeah, I do, of course.

I’ll be working this storm.

Do I remember correctly that you have some sort of forecasting role for the federal government?

If so, I’m glad you’re still there. I assumed Pruitt would have found some way to replace you all with a couple of interns and a Weather Channel feed.

consecutive normal weather

Here in Florida we follow the basics. If you’re not used to hurricanes, this may help.

Edit: They are saying that Florence is moving slowly. That’s bad in two ways. It will build up strength over water, especially the warmer coastal waters. It will hang around over land dumping a lot of rain.

Be safe everyone.

Observing role, but as of now, we’re safe. Only on a 1 year extension but that’s mostly due to dysfunction more than a concrete plan to eliminate us.

You’ll be sadly disappointed, I fear. Gf and I have both failed to find bread the last two days and without that I can’t make my classic feast of breadmilks!

And yet we all expect you to improvise, adapt and produce something awesome ;)

Model trends are showing a bit of good news for us here, seems to be pushing east a bit. Won’t be enough to shift it out to sea, but at least the western half of NC won’t get hit as bad as they could have if this holds.

I can see Armando as the MacGyver cooker of the group.

Should have bought a lighter, so you could make Toasted Breadmilks.

?
https://www.foodnetwork.com/recipes/nigella-lawson/bread-and-milk-recipe-1946751

(Actually, it’s great)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/09/10/hurricane-florence-could-be-lot-like-harvey-heres-why/?utm_term=.4e99ec7dcab6&wpisrc=nl_rainbow&wpmm=1

A ridge of high pressure, extreme especially for this time of year, will develop just off the coast of New England, shunting the path of Florence toward the southeast coast. The strength of this ridge will be unprecedented in 30 years, according to forecast models.

With such a strong area of high pressure directly to the north of Florence, the storm has no pathway to curve out to sea as many other tropical systems usually do. Florence will be forced to the west, passing over an environment that is extremely favorable for intensification and on a collision course with the East Coast. But that represents only half of the problem.

All the hot air out of politicians in DC is pushing this storm southwest.

What’s the outlook for Charleston at this point? Trying to make sense of the maps/forecasts but a bit out of my depth.

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Florence continues to approach the
Southeast U.S. coast as a major hurricane. The latest forecast brings
the center of Florence close to the southeast North Carolina coast
Friday, then Florence could stall then drift west or southwest this
weekend. Regardless of the exact path, impacts will extend well away
from the center and into southeast South Carolina. The track could
shift slightly farther south and west. If this occurs, the region
within the Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Watch area could experience
life-threatening storm surge inundation, damaging winds and excessive
rainfall. This includes areas between Edisto Beach and South Santee
River, including Berkeley County, Dangerous surf zone conditions will
also continue on the beaches of southeast South Carolina and southeast
Georgia at least through late week. The worst conditions are expected
Thursday night into at least Saturday, although impacts could linger
longer depending on the uncertain evolution and track of Florence
beyond Friday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS

  • SURGE:
    Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
    impacts across Charleston and Tidal Berkeley Counties. Potential impacts
    in this area include:
    • Areas of inundation of saltwater along immediate shorelines and
      in low-lying spots farther inland near rivers and creeks, with
      storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several
      buildings, mainly near the coast.
    • Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in normally vulnerable low
      spots.
    • Moderate to major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching
      dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents.
    • Minor to moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and
      piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings,
      especially in unprotected anchorages. Some navigation aids
      possibly displaced well off station, creating difficult
      navigation near inlets and waterways.

Elsewhere across southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia,
little to no impact is anticipated.

  • WIND:
    Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
    near South Santee River in South Carolina. Potential impacts in this area
    include:
    • Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some window,
      door, and garage door failures leading to structural damage.
      Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. Damage
      accentuated by airborne projectiles. Some locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    • Danger of death or injury from falling objects and airborne
      projectiles outside.
    • Large trees snapped or uprooted.
    • Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded locations. Several bridges and access routes
      impassable.
    • Large areas with power and communications outages, which could
      persist for days.
    • Several secured small craft could break free from moorings.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across the rest of southeast South Carolina.

  • FLOODING RAIN:
    Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
    limited impacts along and east of Interstate 26.

Hey man. I know a lot of folks here were not in NC during Hugo. If possible, at least prepare for power loss, it could be significant. Hugo did millions of dollars worth of damage nearly to our mountain towns in NC, and left huge chunks of the state without power.

You might not get supplies for breadmilk, but get batteries and candles, and preferably, some potable water.

Please be safe, Armando. Winds there where you are could be up to 80mph even, and rainfall up to 10" as well.

When you can, you @Clay and the other NC folks check in here and let us know you guys are okay over the weekend.

Looks like Hampton Roads will be spared the worst this time (that yellow bit of Virginia on the map). We have so much to thank North Carolina shielding us from most hurricanes.

“Luckily,” it’s currently turning south, so Raleigh’s impact might be more Matthew than Floyd in the end, but either way, a lot of people are going to be massively endangered.

But yeah, we’ve been charging all the batteries and porta chargers, gathering candles, and have plenty of non-perishable foods to eat. And many bottles and jugs to fill with water, we’ve been saving em for a week now