3567

Me too. That looks terrible.

3568

They are saying it has increased to Cat 4 now.

Cue REM Its The End of the World As We Know It

On a more serious note, I hope you have a safe place to go, Armando.

3569

Is it bad if I admit I’m looking forward to Armando’s “here’s what I cooked with all the perishables in the house once the power went out” pictures?

3570

Yes. You hope for that silently while telling him you hope for the best and saying that everything will be alright.

WHICH OF COURSE IT WILL BE.

We hope. Sincerely.

3571

Yeah, I mean yeah, I do, of course.

3572

I’ll be working this storm.

3573

Do I remember correctly that you have some sort of forecasting role for the federal government?

If so, I’m glad you’re still there. I assumed Pruitt would have found some way to replace you all with a couple of interns and a Weather Channel feed.

3574

consecutive normal weather

3575

Here in Florida we follow the basics. If you’re not used to hurricanes, this may help.

Edit: They are saying that Florence is moving slowly. That’s bad in two ways. It will build up strength over water, especially the warmer coastal waters. It will hang around over land dumping a lot of rain.

Be safe everyone.

3576

Observing role, but as of now, we’re safe. Only on a 1 year extension but that’s mostly due to dysfunction more than a concrete plan to eliminate us.

3577

You’ll be sadly disappointed, I fear. Gf and I have both failed to find bread the last two days and without that I can’t make my classic feast of breadmilks!

3578

And yet we all expect you to improvise, adapt and produce something awesome ;)

3579

Model trends are showing a bit of good news for us here, seems to be pushing east a bit. Won’t be enough to shift it out to sea, but at least the western half of NC won’t get hit as bad as they could have if this holds.

3580

I can see Armando as the MacGyver cooker of the group.

3581

Should have bought a lighter, so you could make Toasted Breadmilks.

3582

?

(Actually, it’s great)

3583

A ridge of high pressure, extreme especially for this time of year, will develop just off the coast of New England, shunting the path of Florence toward the southeast coast. The strength of this ridge will be unprecedented in 30 years, according to forecast models.

With such a strong area of high pressure directly to the north of Florence, the storm has no pathway to curve out to sea as many other tropical systems usually do. Florence will be forced to the west, passing over an environment that is extremely favorable for intensification and on a collision course with the East Coast. But that represents only half of the problem.

3584

All the hot air out of politicians in DC is pushing this storm southwest.

3585

What’s the outlook for Charleston at this point? Trying to make sense of the maps/forecasts but a bit out of my depth.

3586

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Florence continues to approach the
Southeast U.S. coast as a major hurricane. The latest forecast brings
the center of Florence close to the southeast North Carolina coast
Friday, then Florence could stall then drift west or southwest this
weekend. Regardless of the exact path, impacts will extend well away
from the center and into southeast South Carolina. The track could
shift slightly farther south and west. If this occurs, the region
within the Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Watch area could experience
life-threatening storm surge inundation, damaging winds and excessive
rainfall. This includes areas between Edisto Beach and South Santee
River, including Berkeley County, Dangerous surf zone conditions will
also continue on the beaches of southeast South Carolina and southeast
Georgia at least through late week. The worst conditions are expected
Thursday night into at least Saturday, although impacts could linger
longer depending on the uncertain evolution and track of Florence
beyond Friday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS

  • SURGE:
    Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
    impacts across Charleston and Tidal Berkeley Counties. Potential impacts
    in this area include:
    • Areas of inundation of saltwater along immediate shorelines and
      in low-lying spots farther inland near rivers and creeks, with
      storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several
      buildings, mainly near the coast.
    • Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in normally vulnerable low
      spots.
    • Moderate to major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching
      dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents.
    • Minor to moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and
      piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings,
      especially in unprotected anchorages. Some navigation aids
      possibly displaced well off station, creating difficult
      navigation near inlets and waterways.

Elsewhere across southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia,
little to no impact is anticipated.

  • WIND:
    Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
    near South Santee River in South Carolina. Potential impacts in this area
    include:
    • Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some window,
      door, and garage door failures leading to structural damage.
      Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. Damage
      accentuated by airborne projectiles. Some locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    • Danger of death or injury from falling objects and airborne
      projectiles outside.
    • Large trees snapped or uprooted.
    • Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded locations. Several bridges and access routes
      impassable.
    • Large areas with power and communications outages, which could
      persist for days.
    • Several secured small craft could break free from moorings.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across the rest of southeast South Carolina.

  • FLOODING RAIN:
    Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
    limited impacts along and east of Interstate 26.