Scuzz
1961
That is probably a normal day in LA.
Was 60 degrees yesterday, sub 30 today and was 70 on Christmas Day, in Maryland. WTF weather.
I had to put on a jacket today! What the hell!?
Edit: OK, I guess I didn’t have to.
RichVR
1964
High of 60 today. Down to 41 tonight. It’s madness, I tell you, madness!
All right East Coasties. You ready for this? We may have a snowy weekend on the horizon.
It’s still too early to tell exactly how heavy this will be, but right now it looks like the corridor from NoVA through Philly and south Jersey have the potential to get smacked in a way they haven’t been since the Snowmageddon storm of 2010.
The big variable is mostly that the system pushing this weather eastward is actually still over the Pacific as I type this on Tuesday afternoon. Once it makes landfall in the Pacific NW and meteorologists see how it reacts over ground, it’ll firm up the forecasts.
Right now though? The models show a weather geek’s wet dream. All forecasts converging on a model that shows an almost perfect buildup to a wallop on the Mid Atlantic Friday/Saturday.
And completely miss the Upper Midwest /ha ha
Here’s why weather geeks (guilty) are kind of freaking out over the potential of this east coast storm.
If everything fits together in just the most disastrous pattern possible, this basically has the hallmarks of a snow hurricane. Hurricane strength winds, tons of snowmaking moisture, and wet, heavy snow falling.
Not gonna lie, right now I’m fascinated to see if it happens.
Fascination could rapidly turn to “Oh shit,” in these quarters by Saturday.
As someone who survived last year’s Boston Snowpocalypse, no thank you?
Yeah, here in northern Vermont, we’re getting some serious winds and modest (if still significant) snow where I live at least, and my drive home today was not fun. I would just as soon pass on anything worse, especially as 1) the power often goes out with heavy snow/winds, and 2) our water is from a well with an electric pump, and no power means no water which means no frickin’ toilets. Heat, well, the dogs pile on the bed and we all hunker in.
Right now* it looks like the storm will pound the Mid Atlantic the hardest…but who knows? It looks like a big, crawly snowmaker, though, so the entire eastern seaboard north of Charlottesville is going to get hit under the current models.
Time to roll the weather dice!!
RichVR
1972
It’s strange. Since I moved to Florida there hasn’t been a hurricane. Now NY is getting a snow hurricane. Uh… sorry?
Not NY. I-95 corridor, especially DC/Balmer/Philly. Maybe some NYC/Boston.
Anyway, current Para/GFS model:
That’s 2.5-3.0" of liquid over DC. 1" of liquid moisture = 10" of snow, approx.
Alstein
1974
This one is serious. I’ll be working the first part of it overnight into Friday morning here. Ice storms are always stressful, but that’s what they pay us for (even if the crooks at the FAA are desperately trying to cook up a sham not to!)
I was planning on hiking this Saturday. This will certainly make it more interesting.
New Euro model (which is the one everyone pays attention to, like EF Hutton) shows this sliding significantly south. That spares NYC/Boston and even Philly.
Right now DC in the crosshairs. 3 feet. That can obviously change a ton.
RichVR
1978
Thanks Trig, I feel much better. ;)
It’s a little silly to be predicting snow totals this early, because the models are all actually diverging a bit more now that the storm header is making landfall, but hey…it’s fun if they’re totally wrong and this is nothing to look at what we missed out on, right?
So here, this is fun, based on the 4:30 GFS and EURO runs:
