I have some arguments with that.
FO ranks San Francisco 3rd overall in their stats, 4th in defense, but just 17th in offense. Yet he praises the San Francisco offense, remarking on how they’re more efficient on offense than the New England Patriots (1st overall in offense, 34% higher in DVOA than San Francisco).
Why is that? Well, he slips that in at the end – special teams. No one has better special teams than San Francisco right now, 2.5% higher than the second-place team, the Jets. But the article would have you believe that the offense is why, and that New England is “wasting” yards. New England has league-average special teams and an atrocious defense. Their offense is winning them games, just like San Francisco’s defense and special teams are winning them games.
And then there’s this:
(Note: Scoreability counts ALL points, not just those generated by the offense. The scoreboard does not care how those points get there, only that they do. Well-coached teams score points as many ways as possible. Scoreabilty rewards teams for proficiency in all phases of the game; Bendability applies the same rules to defense.)
What the hell does this have to do with their offense? San Francisco has two return and one defensive touchdown – not ridiculous totals, not the most in the league (Baltimore and the Jets are tied with four return/defensive TDs_. San Francisco’s offense has jack-all to do with Ted Ginn returning kickoffs for TDs.
The intro of the column says “We call them Scoreability (offensive efficiency) and Bendability (defensive efficiency), which quantifies the bend-but-don’t-break phenomenon.” Then that is completely at odds with his little disclaimer at the bottom.
One last gripe, because my day is almost over:
The 2010 Chargers, for example, were No. 1 in both total offense and total defense. Yet they went 9-7 and failed to make the playoffs. The problem? The consistently dumb, inefficient Chargers ranked No. 28 in Bendability, meaning they surrendered a lot of cheap points that made it hard to win games.
San Diego’s special teams was historically inept, single-handedly losing games the offense and defense won. I believe they graded out close to the worst special teams play of the modern era. Those plays had nothing to do with the play of their defense, which is what CHFF would have you believe, and everything to do with blocked punts, awful coverage, terrible blocking on returns, and repeated injuries to long snappers (if I’m remembering that correctly).
HULK SMASH STUPID WRITER
I am not saying San Francisco is not awesome. They are! They’re third overall by FO’s metrics, they’re great this year. But the cause here is wrong.