I mean, if wishes were unicorns, everyone would have a sweeter and more metal album cover.

“Ho, ho, ho, now I have a Tor SAM system too.”

If that’s a functional system, that’d be funny to see the Ukrainians shoot down Russian planes with their own SAMs.

Also: Clash Royale gems now worth more than Rubles.

I am in favor of this timeline.

Oh, we have a super proud history of being invaded. First grade victims, right here.

It’s funny how it affects a country. Danish national mythology is built around being the poor, innocent tiny little country getting beaten up by the nasty Swedes, and Brits, and Germans.

It doesn’t correspond to reality, we’ve made so many problems for ourselves through history, but that’s how nation states do. In a nation state you are the best, and the most righteous, and you are always right. And all of the others are not.

It would have to be a captured Buk system for extra schadenfreude points.

Given the Russian army seems to be stuck in some mud, I’m off to occupy St Petersburg.

Commercial aviation in Russia will probably wither away and die. Presumably they can’t get Airbus parts or services. They do apparently have a partly Russian-made commuter jet, but the engines are French and made outside the country and they aren’t going to get parts or service for that either.

See guys, all this talk about us setting up a no fly zone is moot, because the Ukrainians can just set it up themselves with Russian SAMs.

Gabriel Gatehouse

BBC Newsnight

When I saw reports and photographs on Tuesday suggesting that primary school children had been arrested by police in Moscow for laying flowers at the Ukrainian embassy and holding signs saying “No to war” I refused to believe it was real.

But now it has been confirmed by the Nobel prize-winning newspaper Novaya Gazeta. In an update the newspaper says the children have since been released.

The images show the children with officers behind metal bars, perhaps in a police vehicle, and then in a police station, holding their flowers and placards.

The Kremlin appears to be taking increasingly draconian measures to try to keep a grip on its war narrative.

This is how an autocrats’ power ends.

Putin is basically pissing off his own people, in order to piss off the rest of the world.

Oh shit. Ukraine bringing out the big guns now.

(I should’ve answered to this too, sorry, rude)

I think it’s very important to be clear that none of what Putin is saying makes sense. I have no idea how we’re going to negotiate with someone who doesn’t live in the real world, but that seems to be what we’re facing.

There is not, and has not been, any threat of NATO invading Russia. It’s purely imaginary. We haven’t lived in that world since the Second World War. We have certainly played violent geopolitical games, but we have long since stopped wars of conquest, and ruled them illegal by international law.

There is so much that has changed since before the Second World War, which seems to be where Putin lives. We have increased global trade ties, which (and I’m saying this as a socialist) are arguably the most reliable peacekeeping mechanism we have.

It makes it more important for us to maintain our diplomatic ties, to use our wits and words, to care about our economies, and forge actual friendships with each other, and it makes using our military to get things completely counterproductive.

Where it starts to get uncomfortable for the Russians is that it also confers a huge advantage to the worlds biggest economies, with the most savvy diplomatic corps, and increasingly also intelligence agencies, who engage in industrial espionage in support of national corporations.

The Russians are seemingly not very good at any of those things, but I think most people would agree that wars of wit, and words, and money are better, and far more productive than lobbing bombs at someone so you can own the ruins, and a completely uncertain future.

The rational thing would’ve been for Russian regime to take a break from robbing their own people, and try to build an actual country for once. Instead they’re lobbing bombs again. There’s not a shred of logic there to respect or acknowledge. It is complete madness.

The fact that Putin is actually trying to defend the Soviet Unions invalidation of Estonian, Latvian, Lithuanian, Kazakh and Ukrainian nationhood is pure madness. It has no basis in reality, nor did it in the early 20th century. It’s a repeat and a doubling down on something that was a crime even when the Soviets did it.

I think there’s a rational fear about being economically boxed-in and isolated, as opposed to being outright invaded.

The irony of course, is how spectacularly that worked out for Putin. Urge to join NATO has increased for many nations, and Russia has been hit with economic sanctions.

To be “fair” there’s a huge double standard in the West between economics and politics. Because Russia is lacking in one we feel OK to prosecute the other. I’m sure Putin is going “why can the Chinese host the Olympics and build iPhones and have millions in internment camps but I’m the bad guy for a bit of invasion in some states nobody cares about until now?”

And you could argue the boxing in is a bait to provoke this kind of millenial, regime-ending madness. I think that’s overreach but here’s looking forward to the end of the regime.

This account, along with the NYTimes piece below are not exactly filling me with confidence about any substantial change in Russia, with or without Putin.

rumour mill has it Russia is planning a false flag in Belarus, to commit them (Belarus) to the war…

Putin got in trouble because Ukranians are white victims, there’s twitter video coverage all over, and Poles/Baltics and other Europeans feel threatened by Russian expansion. It’s not about the size of Russia’s economy - if anything being the gas station of Germany helped him out (at least early on)