Lurb
5262
The famous convoy looks more and more like the Mother of All Traffic Jams, it must be complete chaos in the middle of it.
If it does get fully exploited it will earn the status of great military catastrophe based on arrogance and stupidity, a la Agincourt. Here’s hoping it gets fully exploited.
Snow stopped Napoleon and Hitler, but mud stopped the Mongols.
It’s nice to hopecast about all the supply trucks and tankers trapped in that convoy that should have been back at the supply depot two days ago picking up their next load. So now, the monster convoy that was going to solve all the front-line supply problems is making them worse and worse as time passes.
spiffy
5266
Only if someone starts blowing it up, though. Depressing if no one can get their teeth into it.
Menzo
5267
There’s a drone pilot sitting in a trailer somewhere in Mississippi just itching to get the OK to light that convoy up, I’m sure.
Which makes me wonder: what if it were a Ukranian at the controls? Would that be OK?
Every day saved is more of a chance to organize defenses in depth, receive new equipment, organize and mobilize new forces.
I’m smoking that one hard too. Just get them through the night. Love the idea that the convoy is a self-perpetuating snarl up too.
Too bad an A-10 pilot can’t go on a few day joyride.
“Where have you been? And why is all your cannon ammo expended?”
“Oh, you know. Ducks! My girlfriend wanted a duck dinner and i thought id try and find one.”
“So you were shooting ducks?”
“Yep.”
“I think we’ll buy it.”
I’ll just leave this here (and I’m unsure of the reliability of the poster):
A different type of Ukrainian famine?
The point I’m getting at is that every eight or twelve hours a truck is stuck in that convoy, is effectively a load of supplies NOT being delivered. The fact that they will eventually deliver one load of supplies won’t change the fact that they needed to deliver two or three per day to keep their parent units operating at full effectiveness. Blowing them up would be a bonus, but the Mother Off All Traffic Jams is a self-inflicted loss that’s nearly as good.
And also, how many words of Ukrainian does one need to know to count as Ukrainian? Surely 5 or 10 would be enough, right?
Thrag
5273
While explosions are cathartic, the real thing to hope for is mass desertions. I mean if we’re going to hope.
Per that US Army analysis I posted up there somewhere ☝️, the logistical plan for the Russian army is that their trucks are supposed to make multiple round trips per day to a depot or railhead in order to keep the fighting force supplied.
So if they are sitting there in that convoy for days on end, that’s less than one day of combat supplies. That’s not necessarily a problem if the units they support aren’t engaging in combat — except for food and maybe fuel — but once they are in combat, those trucks are going to empty fast, and then they have to go somewhere to collect more supplies.
So far they haven’t given much indication that they can make multiple round trips per day.
Yes, that’s it exactly. They’re being wasted sitting there. May they sit there until their tires rot away.
spiffy
5275
Sounds like you want to go around at night and blow up a few bridges. Trap the whole lot with a caged tiger.
I believe just two: СЛАВА УКРАÏНА
I confess that “glory to Arstotzka” has been stuck in my brain the last few days. The stupid things that stick.
Regardless of the internet point, do we know the Roscosmos is even responsible for the spy satellites? Nasa isn’t in the US.
Russian civilian aviation is toast:
What happens when your supply convoy runs out of supplies?
KevinC
5281
I hope so, but I’m not going to take Jan Nedvidek’s word for it. :)
