I mean, on a practical level, with all the sanctions all these companies probably cannot guarantee sales or delivery.

Rouble keeps collapsing despite Russian efforts.

image

Has this consideration actually been a factor in the calculus of the various entities that decide to pursue armed conflict to change the status quo? Its the whole “we don’t negotiate with terrorists in order to prevent future terrorism” kind of thing to me. Does the failure of X, Y or Z country to achieve its goals via military means factor in (to a significant degree) the next country considering such options? I’m skeptical, although giving Putin an inch here does leave a nasty taste in my mouth.

One of those shared Twitter lists claims FecesBook is now blocked in Russia. Ironic they are OK with poisoning social media but don’t want to face the same music.

Ikea pulling out. Putin getting there with the glory days of the soviet republic.

Queue like it’s 1985!

So glad everyone gets to suffer. Ukrainians more than Russians, but still. Good job, Putin, you fuckin’ asshole.

Yeah, for comparison, their holding of Microsoft is $442m. And at a quick glance they have/had plenty of other Russian holdings: Yandex, Lukoil, Polyus, Mobile Telesystems. It’s not particuarly surprising for a very large pension fund to have international companies in their portfolio.

Tweeter is BBC Correspondent — (no Twitter blue check, but can confirm there is an official BBC News page with his name and matching image saying he’s a BBC security correspondent).

I didn’t see this posted, but it’s a fast-moving thread. A bit of historical background on protracted war:

A lot of good stuff, one sample paragraph:

Finally, it is precisely in a context of a protracted war that the expensive, stiff sanctions that much of the rest of the world has placed on Russia matter . Putin, I suspect, hoped that he could win this war quickly, after which he could present the sanctions – which I also very strongly suspect he thought would be far weaker than they have been – as useless and counter-productive, damaging the economies of NATO member states. But the longer Ukraine can protract the war, the longer those sanctions have time to degrade not only the will, but also the military capacity of Russia. In this sense, Ukraine actually can , indirectly, through world opinion, strike at the industrial base which powers the Russian war effort. Consequently, since both Ukrainian war-making capabilities (due to foreign weapon donations) and Russian war-making capabilities (due to the crippling effects of sanctions) in the long-run depend on international will and support, Ukraine has to wage their war with a lot of attention to global opinion; Russia had to do this too and it is fair to say they failed before they knew they needed to care. The longer the war is protracted, the more that global opinion will matter, as the sanctions and imported javelins and Bayraktar TB2s bite deeper.

More anecdotal evidence of shit maintenance.

Although honestly this sounds more like we’re getting more information from Ukraine than vice-versa.

GRU, Fancy Bear, other names for GRU…

Washington Post reporter, from Pentagon Briefing — this is an excerpt, click on any tweet for the full thread:

Beginning to think they’re just going to sit outside Kyiv, shut the power off, bombard it with artillery and wait.

Yes. Grind. Not sure how they can do that given what’ll be happening in Russia but evidently they believe they can.

Headline is about the BBC but the more important stuff is in the copy, which has several independent news outlets in Russia closing down permanently in the last couple of days and many journalists fleeing the country.

Every time I look at a BBC map of Ukraine the Russians are less near Kyiv. They appear to be advancing backwards. Multiple competence factors at work…

I’m sure they know he’ll be a martyr, but as inspirational figure Zelensky is more valuable alive than dead.

I’m guessing the Vice Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko doesn’t have his chrisma,

Perhaps they have that ‘Tenet’ technology…