I suspect it’s existing delivery obligations.

In my mind interfering in the US elections is an act of war so…

I guess that could be it.

Tweeter is Wall Street Journal reporter stationed in Russia

Well, I didn’t think Russia would invade at the end of winter/beginning of mud season. I figured no early than May, if ever.

Since the title of the thread is about evil, I think this essay from David French on why there are evil men s quite interesting.

Zelensky is the uncommon hero, the entertainer-turned-president who is becoming the Winston Churchill of Ukraine. But this week, let’s talk about his enemy, Vladimir Putin: why he’s a common villain, and why men like him are ubiquitous in human history. They rise and fall with almost metronomic regularity, not just because there are always men who are drawn to absolute power and military glory, but because these men connect with specific human needs and unlock the darkness in human hearts.

It’s easy to forget as the western world unites in revulsion at Russia’s invasion, but as recently as ten days ago significant figures in the United States and the west obviously and openly admired Putin, including Donald Trump, the former president and frontrunner for the GOP nomination. Days before the Russian Army launched its unprovoked attack on Ukraine, Tucker Carlson, the most popular cable news host in America, was so pro-Putin that his remarks were rebroadcast on Russian state media.

In the years since his rise, Putin has been admired as a defender of Christian civilization, as a man at the “heart” of the “post-Soviet revival of Christianity in Russia.” In 2017 Christopher Caldwell, a senior fellow at the Claremont Institute, delivered an address to the Hillsdale College National Leadership Seminar, entitled “How to Think About Vladimir Putin.” Hillsdale, for those who don’t know, is arguably the premier conservative college in America. It reprinted Caldwell’s remarks in Imprimis , a monthly digest that reaches more than five million Americans.

Caldwell’s words are worth remembering because they describe—perhaps more eloquently than anyone else in the west—not just why Putin built a following abroad, but also how he became (at least for a time) popular at home. These three paragraphs are key:

Vladimir Vladimirovich is not the president of a feminist NGO. He is not a transgender-rights activist. He is not an ombudsman appointed by the United Nations to make and deliver slide shows about green energy. He is the elected leader of Russia—a rugged, relatively poor, militarily powerful country that in recent years has been frequently humiliated, robbed, and misled. His job has been to protect his country’s prerogatives and its sovereignty in an international system that seeks to erode sovereignty in general and views Russia’s sovereignty in particular as a threat.

After noting that Putin committed atrocities in his rise to power, Caldwell continues:

Yet if we were to use traditional measures for understanding leaders, which involve the defense of borders and national flourishing, Putin would count as the pre-eminent statesman of our time. On the world stage, who can vie with him? Only perhaps Recep Tayyip Erdoğan of Turkey.

When Putin took power in the winter of 1999-2000, his country was defenseless. It was bankrupt. It was being carved up by its new kleptocratic elites, in collusion with its old imperial rivals, the Americans. Putin changed that. In the first decade of this century, he did what Kemal Atatürk had done in Turkey in the 1920s. Out of a crumbling empire, he rescued a nation-state, and gave it coherence and purpose. He disciplined his country’s plutocrats. He restored its military strength. And he refused, with ever blunter rhetoric, to accept for Russia a subservient role in an American-run world system drawn up by foreign politicians and business leaders. His voters credit him with having saved his country.

As Caldwell notes in his essay, Putin’s fans have not been limited to right-wing figures outside Russia. One should view public opinion polls in authoritarian countries with deep suspicion, but the available evidence indicates he’s been broadly popular in Russia for two decades. One wonders how long this popularity can hold as Russian forces struggle on the battlefield, but the bottom line is still clear—tens of millions of people (including some of the most influential people in the west) have admired an objectively evil man. Why?

Throughout history we see familiar patterns, in times of stress and confusion, people cry out for salvation and strength. Success—including military success—builds a bond with the people. The victorious ruler connects not just with human pride, but also with profound human longings for protection, purpose, and identity.

This text will be blurred

This is an ancient need. One of the most fateful passages of scripture is found in 1 Samuel 8, the moment the people of Israel demand a king. Dissatisfied with the leadership of Samuel’s dissolute sons, they demanded a king “to judge us like all the nations.”

Again, this all just jives with the Russians thinking the moment their armored units rolled over the border the Ukrainians would fold.

Look I promise you we all wanted you to be correct.

Don’t feel bad–even when we were kicking around the idea of an invasion being possible, no one thought it was a smart idea. Until recently, too, Putin sort of gave the impression of being relatively realistic. Evil AF, sure, but not batshit insane. Ah, yesterday.

You have to think that, if we, a bunch of game nerds on a private website in the USA know about this ginormous flight of aerial death dealers, the Ukrainians, who have a somewhat more intense interest in such things, probably know as well…

Thank you for sharing that.

Today Russia has lost 3 more planes (2 with visual confirmation, the third is a recent report). While Ukraine’s numbers are obviously bloated, they’ve likely lost 20-30 planes of about 300 they had originally on range.

There are also photos going on today showing defeated Russian convoys using civilian cars and trucks. At least 3 different instances.

I still think Russia will eventually overwhelm Ukraine’s defenses in the conventional part of the conflict, but they are making their best to prove me wrong.

@alekseivolchok @Valambrian any idea what the heck the Z is supposed to stand for? In addition to the vehicle markings in Ukraine it is popping up in things all over (Russian gymnast at World Cup, nutty video of Putin youth or whatever the hell they were). Unless I had a stroke that isn’t even in the Cyrillic alphabet which uses з for that sound.

They are using both V and Z right? Not being part of the Cyrillic alphabet but still really identifiable are likely the idea. Quick and easy way to ID friendly forces in an environment with lots of similar looking equipment.

Not so much the vehicle id part, but:

and

I see some things saying it is just for Za Pobedu - “For Victory”, but still odd these folks are using Z instead of the actual Cyrillic.

Edit: Also the “своих не бросаем”: meaning people or territory? Guessing people based on -их, but very rusty.

I thought those markings were just to organize vehicles for different battle axis deployment. A lot of them have a V too instead of a Z in different sections.

Sounds like they are going all-in on the Z thing. Here is a long thread about it.

UK Chief of Defence Staff, which AIUI is roughly equivalent to US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, discusses what the UK Military thinks is the state of Russian military forces attacking Ukraine—basically a very short discussion of Russian morale and logistics.

Mark Hertling, former Commanding General US Army Europe on videos showing Russia bringing in civilian vehicles for use in Ukraine.