Helloooo
The EU is deadly serious on Turkey. It can’t take any more crises, or existential threats to the core ethos of the European Union.
The rise of the far right and Brexit means that any Turkish threats re: migrants/refugees will have to be dealt with far more harshly than they would have been even 2 years ago.
Make no mistake, EU leaders are deeply worried about the threat to both them and the EU project by far right populists riding an anti-migrant and anti-terrorist wave. Turkey has no cards to play with browbeating Europe into accepting it’s descent into dictatorship.
When the economy in Turkey starts to tumble, we’ll see how long Erdogan’s rural support lasts.