I disagree! Our nervous systems are highly adapted to tracking and predicting moving objects. We evolved as hunters and tool manipulators, and we have excellent, movement-detecting eyesight that can predict where future objects will be based on their paths across our visual field and our estimates of distance. This helps when throwing a spear at a fleeing deer (objects moving well in excess of 10mph), and it helps when driving a car.
In addition to that, a ton of driving skills overlap with social skills - predicting the way a pedestrian is running means they’re going to dart into the road, or onto the crossing; navigating a four-way junction with no clear right-of-way markers; anticipating when a driver looks ‘lost’ and knowing to give distance because of early stops, and a ton of other things you never even think about that aid in avoiding getting into a situation where reflexes are even needed (a situation a computer might have some advantage). These are all things that work because other people are driving these other cars, and we are very good at anticipating the movements of other cars based on our experience with cars but also our ability to understand the people driving them.
Yes, some people drink and get chronically distracted while driving, and do drugs. In principle, we don’t let them drive cars! It’s just hard to detect/stop them until it’s too late.
We’ve done really well with self-driving cars, but it’s a really hard problem running into the hardest final pieces. The last 5% is probably harder than the first 95%.
I guess is that we can probably make self-driving cars that can operate on the same roads as humans with similar accident rates, but I very much doubt all the pieces (technology, infrastructure, legislation) will be in happen before 2050, and I’m not even sure about that.
I expect self-driving haulage vehicles, moving along segregated lanes between out-of-city warehouses by 2030, at best.