Armando: Yeah, dealing with climate change in any kind of useful, longterm way, is probably going to require a political party to essentially commit suicide to ram through a package of proposals and laws more complicated and overwhelmingly transformative than the ACA, because it’s not a problem that we as a species can afford to deal with slowly and piecemeal. That approach has gotten us to the suicide cliff we’re all dangling five feet beyond in open air, Wile E. Coyote style.
I dunno, I guess I’m skeptical this will happen. Is there any example of a representative democracy dealing with a looming crisis of this magnitude rather than one that is already upon them? It’s not something democracies are very good at. Britain and the US more or less steadfastly refused to arm up until they were actually dragged into WW2. And the way Brexit is playing out is instructive: All parties can see it’s a looming disaster, but none have the sense of responsibility to take the bullet for calling it off.
It seems way more likely that climate change response will all be reactions to actual crises as they happen, rather than any action to prevent or mitigate them before-hand. Governments will react to refugee crises, probably badly as usual. Think Katrina or Puerto Rico FEMA response, but happening in slow motion with hundreds of thousands or even millions flooded. The response will be typically stupid, e.g. government making good on flood insurance so people can rebuild houses more or less in the same place that will be flooded again.
Same thing with agriculture: Crop failures will happen slowly, over time, and get gradually worse, and the government response will be wholly inadequate and probably wrong, e.g. focused on pouring money into farmers and farming regions that are basically doomed.
I mean, the problem with climate change is that it will for a long time be irritating, then suddenly it will be very bad. There will e.g. be periodic flood / recede cycles in coastal areas, until suddenly the West Antarctic ice shelf will slide into the sea and lots of places are permanently flooded. No one will do anything useful about it while it is irritating, and then it is a massive crisis.