I feel way better about paying an Ebay scalper $1100 for a 3080 in November.
Thatās the twenty million dollar question that nobody is really addressing. Those in the know (the wholesalers of these products) presumably donāt want to say because the answers will make them look bad. We have some combination of cryptocurrency demand, COVID related supply chain disruptions, and structural issues where other products (consoles) are fighting with video cards for production capacity.
Since cryptocurrencies have been around for a few years and presumably nvidia/amd know how to build that demand into their forecast Iām thinking itās more COVID/structural issues. Which means maybe it will clear up in a year or so?
I canāt wait for 2022, when I can get a used RTX 3080 with almost a thousand hours of crypto mining clocked on it for 5% below MSRP.
:P
Soma
8109
Yeah I look at the price and availablility and they are getting worse. But 3060 is just around the corner hopefully price will start coming down soon, or at least flatline.
What incentive does nvidia has to want to support the gaming market instead of the cryptomining one? Because the whole 3060 neutered for mining thing, if nvidia makes more money with mining, it might end up with fewer 3060ās getting made.
stusser
8111
Cryptomining is cyclical, it comes and goes, gaming isnāt.
Burger King has the impossible burger because it wants to get vegans and the health conscious in the door, they care about that, itās potentially a lot of money for them, but their bread and butter is, shall we say, less health conscious and they wonāt ever abandon that core userbase.
Tim_N
8112
Once Ethereum mining becomes untenable, what will the miners do anyway? I am a little surprised that people are still investing alot into GPUs for mining, as from what I have heard there are changes that could be coming in just a couple of months that would halve profit or more (and this is before the change to proof-of-stake).
After that all thatās left are crappy proof-of-work altcoins that donāt have a hope of a future like Ravencoin or Cortex. Once the miners all switch to mining those to try and draw blood from the stone, the price of those coins will tank no matter the surrounding market conditions and then mining will be gone forever.
That is, if they are even half-way intelligent. Which I certainly hope they are. But Iāve also learned never underestimate the ability of American companies to do incredibly stupid things out of short-term greed.
Aceris
8115
Cynically, I kind of expect the proof of work coins to suddenly be the ānext big thingā with large unexplained rises shortly before proof-of-stake comes in on ETH.
Reminds me of a story from one of the organizations I work for; hotshot joins up, works to make a name for himself by pushing a company-wide system change, glosses over any potential issues, the non-technical decision-makers are enamored and go ahead with it, he gets a promotion and leaves shortly after for greener pastures and the organization is stuck dealing with the fallout of poor decision making and an extremely difficult walk-back option.
I believe companies donāt think long term as much as they used to in part because more of the people who comprise them often donāt plan on sticking around. Add to that the āwhat have you done for me latelyā investment model, and it seems ripe for volatility.
Menzo
8117
Oh man, Iām getting nervous ticks because Iāve seen this so much. Pretty much every time a new VP of marketing or development joins a company Iām part of I can expect some massive change within 60 days.
Aceris
8118
The only reason I am not telling my own story similar to this is I havenāt been as careful about my employers anonymity on here as I could be and I still have to work with one of the people involvedā¦
The 3070 I ordered from BLT in mid-December is finally in stock. Nevermind the email I received just this morning with an updated ETA of March 2 š¤Ŗ
Alistair
8121
Hang in there :) By March youāll be able to resell it and retireā¦
Menzo
8123
People who are wondering why Nvidia doesnāt do something to address miners cornering the market on their graphics cards have their answer.
3060 launches tomorrow. Maybe I can find it at list price somewhere.