2017: Whither Democrats?

McSally is the GOP establishment candidate. Representative from a fairly reddish district, definitely sane, resides within the Republican mainstream.

Would easily be the toughest competition for Sinema in the general.

And she’s gonna lose to one of the crazies?

Luckiest politician in the world?

Claire McCaskill, senator from Missouri. Missouri hates female politicians for statewide offices. Both parties.

But Claire–who lost a gubernatorial bid in 2004–ran for senate in 2006 against Jim Talent, a charisma-less guy mostly disliked within the state GOP. She won a close race in a wave election.

In 2012, she looked like there was NO WAY she’d win re-election. Her polling was dismal. And then Todd “When women are raped, they have ways of shutting that down” Akin happened, and she cruised to an easy win.

And now in 2018, when she should be super vulnerable just because of the ideological tilt of her state now, she is gifted with Eric Greitens as governor and Josh Hawley as her competitor, the state AG. Hawley and Greitens were hand and glove until the Greitens scandals broke, and now his attempts to distance himself have destroyed his in-state fundraising and may hurt him badly in November. In just-announced numbers, Claire out-raised Hawley by $2 million last quarter. And he has to win a primary. She doesn’t. Stay tuned.

Well, Ward is running ahead of her now. NRSC is probably going to have to start dumping cash there. See post above: they may have to decide between Arizona and Missouri for their biggest cash dumps.

Does the DNC really think their lawsuit is going to go anywhere or help them in any way?

Same as filibustering Gorsuch, I suspect; no, but they’re wanting to “make a statement.”

It could theoretically lead to some sort of Discovery.

All of this. There’s not much to it from a technical legal standpoint that will do them much good.

It earns them a little good will with the resist left bubbleperson constituency, though, where they need to shore up their bonafides. And yes, there’s a definite, well-above-zero chance that it leads to something in discovery or causes a Trumpian unforced error.

Maddow dedicated most of her show to this last night. Lost to the annals of history, three days after the Watergate break-in, the DNC sued the Committee to Re-Elect President Nixon for one million dollars, with the head of the DNC saying that he had no doubt that the conspiracy went all the way to the Oval Office.

The media at the time laughed at it.

The day Nixon resigned, the Nixon campaign quietly settled with the DNC for the sum of $775k.

Maddow also goes on to say how John Mitchell and several other high-ranking Nixon cronies, laughed at the lawsuit, but ultimately ended up doing jail time.

A forecast of what we can expect from young adults in November?

Damn, I sure hope not. How depressing. The GOP is fucking over their future and they’re not even going to bother voting.

The district might not have a lot of millenials. The good guys still won despite that low turnout.

A lot of the rural districts- the young move out of them fast. Right now it seems like it’s the older suburban women who are the biggest resisters.

Yeah, for most of the parts of that district, that’s true.

However, it also contains most of Pittsburgh, so I’d expect more of them.

That is a very weak opening salvo for Lesko. Probably enough for her to win (80% of the ballots cast in this special elex are absentee) but wow.

Right now Jeff Flake nodding and telling an aide, “There’s a reason I’m getting out now.”

A reminder too: this is Trent Franks’ (who resigned after it was revealed he was offering a staffer $5m to have his baby) old seat. It couldn’t be much darker red.

If only someone at, say, a major newspaper like the New York Times, in a paid position to analyze election results could express a similar sentiment.

Oh.

The Democrat still lost.