This is what you wrote:
He was the one who chose to go public wrt their interactions
Nowhere in the report does it state that. I asked where it states it, and you just replied “there, somewhere”.
The investigation & public ban came before his statements involving chess.com. He also never discussed his interactions with chess.com (see quotes below).
The investigation happened because of an OTB game that even now, over a month later, zero evidence has been presented to suggest that it was in any way influenced by cheating, and what available evidence there is suggests was more likely due to Magnus playing much worse than his statistical norms.
Further, what did Niemann actually say on September 6th, the day after he received an email telling him his account was terminated with no explanation?
“They have the best cheat detection in the world,” he said. “They know I am not a cheater. I have given everything to chess. I work so hard and I have sacrificed everything for chess. But now Chess.com has hopped on Magnus and Nakamura’s accusations.
“I believe this is completely unfair. But I am not afraid to tell the world that I cheated as a 12-year-old and in some random games as a 16-year-old, because I know who I am.
“Everything I have done for the past few years is to make up for that mistake and I hope that my results, commitment and hard work have shown that I have learnt my lesson.”
He misrepresents his level of historical cheating, but he doesn’t know that his account was banned because of cheating during the period before his ban (i.e. pre-August 2020). Why would he? He reached an agreement with Danny Rensch, an agreement that hundreds of others who have cheated on Chess.com also reached (and so far, it seems only Niemann has had that agreement rescinded out of all those hundreds) that gave him a clean slate from August 2020 onwards.
Does the report show any cheating post-August 2020?
No.
So at this stage, he thinks he’s been banned for cheating post-August 2020 and talks and makes comments based on that.
Again, the 72 page report shows no cheating post-August 2020.
He is not the only top-100 players to have been banned from Chess.com (there are probably more than we know) without making a public fuss.
People were commenting on his public ban almost immediately. Can you point out any other Top100 players where similar happened? How is he meant to not make a public fuss, when chess.com publicly banned him (as in the ban was publicly visible as was his dis-invitation) and third parties are publicly commenting on it?
I must have imaged the surprise of various experts at Nieman’s play in that game,
Did I state anywhere that no-one was surprised? Why are you conflating ‘surprise as it was happening’ with conclusions that it was due to cheating? Does every time someone is surprised by a sports persons’ performance mean that they actually believe they’re cheating?
since he hasn’t been caught red-handed OTB.
That implies there is significant reason to suspect him but that we don’t have conclusive proof.
You, nor anyone else have provided evidence to suspect any of his his OTB games. The chess.com report, and Ken Regan’s analysis doesn’t highlight any cheating since August 2020. Ken Regan’s analysis clears him completely, and chess.com posit some potential smoking guns based on private statistical analysis but don’t actually publish it or explain it.
Yet here you are, convinced there is significant suspicion about his recent games because he was awkward in his post-game analysis and Magnus thinks he should have been visibly cowed during their game - really?
While their tools for detecting foul play in their own online games are apparently the best in the business, their arguments-by-association and relying on correlation as causation in the rest of the report is incredibly poor. Not to mention that most graphs have strange starting or end points for numerical ranges that are likely due to them making the results seem more damning as a result c.f. https://twitter.com/ChessNumbers/status/1568710543548256257
So what? Only one became a GM at 12. Any range will always have end points at each end, that’s meaningless. Yet it’s used to infer Niemann is anomalous.
'The conventional wisdom is that if you are not a GM by age 14, it’s unlikely that you can reach the top levels of chess. ’
Except they immediately note that some of the greats were age 15, not 14. And in Niemann’s peer group, there were many people who didn’t reach GM until age 15 and 16, not 14.
This is disingenuous, has no value and is just there to bulk out the report and sound ominous. There’s plenty else like it in it.
And yes, you do tend to give the benefit of the doubt to someone who seemingly hasn’t cheated in 2 years (as per Ken Regan and Chess.com) despite playing countless games - why wouldn’t you when there has been no evidence produced whatsoever?