You refer to the US of course. While there is a trend of many left leaning leaving the church due to the right-leaning Vatican of the prior popes (yes, popes), the issue was further exacerbated by US specific players, I speak of the Free-Market Libertarian Catholics. While the Central/Southern Americas has Liberation Theology going on, we had Libertarian Theology happening in the North. Its not at all the same! Well funded for years both inside and outside the Church as well as out: at the top of that iceberg are the now well known Koch brothers. The fund thing like Mises (in Alabama) as a Libertarian think tank to pound out all sorts of Libertarian screeds, including some on Catholicism like this one:
http://mises.org/misesreview_detail.aspx?control=291
Money quote:
“Not only may Catholics licitly reject papal teachings that contravene sound economics: they should also embrace with enthusiasm Austrian theory.”
This refers to thier (and some do self-use this term, including that author) anarcho-capitalist view as “Austrian theory” in quote. Its after paragraphs arguing with a direct quote from a prior Pope that indeed paying a living wage is a morally correct thing to do!
So, anyway. US Catholicism has a very interesting shift from within. The Catholics are filled with people of this view, and most of those that disagree strongly and haven’t left are the older ones. This is a very politicized view. They’ve been arguing with dead Popes for years, I’m sure they’ll have no problems arguing with this one while he lives.
Back to this pope:
Sure it is a huge institution, and as such can only shift gradually with the biggest risk of shifting quickly left would be to have many of the remaining conservative-leaning Catholics walk out in disgust. In many areas of the Americas (usage continents, broadly) the Catholic Church has had significant declines in membership in the past few decades. He does indeed seem to be smart enough to be avoiding causing more of this. He is making excellent use of his unique “bully pulpit” status. However, more intriguing are some very interesting changes to internal procedures and staffing across the whole of the institution. He may not make a huge shift in what he does, but he has certainly greased the wheels for more shifting. I would not underestimate the internal bureaucratic strikes. It may not be changing dogma, but it will influence who does what and how they do it in many functions internally in the future.
These are steps that are canny, pragmatic, clearly intended to outlive him and bear fruit later as well as delightfully subversive administratively. So, the short answer is that he seems to know, and be realistically making all changes that would allow change while not inflicting serious collateral damage from the attempt. Which isn’t much … but stay tuned. I do not speak ill-informed. Three immediate family members have taught catechesis (dogma instruction for new or young Catholics) at three different Catholic churches in the last decade. I married into a large Catholic family and they marry more of them! Many are very active, I hear one nephew plans on priesthood.
Yes, this pope seems to be, in general, really great. That’s possibly the most awful thing about him. Wait what? This article has that intriguing premise.