Check out the Zogby front page.
Gee, all the pro-Kerry predictions seem to be gone!
Actually I guess they didn’t totally get rid of everything, as they still have some releases up that refer to their earlier predictions. Interesting how their big final prediction isn’t actually linked any more though.
I heard him on the BBC last night “It’s a little early for the post-mortems (re: Bush administration)” then he proceeded to give one. :P To be fair 'pubbies were pretty glum (i.e. they specifically said they were optimistic) then with talk of record turnouts and promising exit polls.
Why would that be surprising to anyone?
Zogby makes his money by running a business around polling, why would you expect him to go out of his way to promote how some of his predictions were wrong?
No different than any other business, really.
Especially when it ended up like this:
Arizona
Zogby had it +6% for Bush
Final +11% for Bush
Arkansas
Zogby had it +3% for Bush
Final +9% for Bush
Colorado
Zogby had it too close to call
Final +7% for Bush
Florida
Zogby had it +.1% for Kerry and trending Kerry
Final +5% for Bush
Iowa
Zogby had it +5% for Kerry
Final still TBD
Michigan
Zogby had it +6% for Kerry
Final Result +3% for Kerry
Minnesota
Zogby had it +6% for Kerry
Final Result +3% for Kerry
Missouri
Zogby had it +3% for Bush
Final Result +8% for Bush
Nevada
Zogby had it too close to call
Final +3% for Bush
New Hampshire
Zogby had it +5% for Kerry
Final Result +1% for Kerry
New Mexico
Zogby had it +3% for Kerry
Final - still TBD
North Carolina
Zogby had it +3% for Bush
Final +13% for Bush
Oregon
Zogby had it +10% for Kerry
Final Result +5% for Kerry
Ohio
Zogby had it +2% for Bush but trending Kerry
Final TBD
Pennsylvania
Zogby had it trending Kerry
Final Result +3% for Kerry
Tennessee
Zogby had it +4% for Bush
Final +14% for Bush
Virginia
Zogby had it slight edge for Bush
Final +8% for Bush
Washington
Zogby had it +10% for Kerry
Final Result +7% for Kerry
West Virginia
Zogby had it +4% for Bush
Final +14% for Bush
Wisconsin
Zogby had it +6% for Kerry
Final Result +1% for Kerry
Poor Zog. He didn’t see the GOP turnout coming.
To be fair, neither did anyone else. No one that I know of predicted this one - everyone else didn’t see the GOP turnout coming either, excepting Gallup, who actually way overshot.