One of the persistent truths about the ring wing is they don’t understand scale very well and thus don’t understand the relative magnitude of various issues. I saw a report, don’t know where, that there is a group collecting the various press releases and is claiming that there will be about 3 million bonuses paid at about $1,000 each.
First up there are some issues we’ve been mentioning here: do all the various bonuses actually add up to a number that high, what amount will the average worker be getting, and how the bonuses compare with what would be normal after a decent year that caps 8 years of sustained growth. Also, why are these bonuses instead of raises? The corporate tax cut is permanent but bonuses, that’s just one time.
But there’s another issue here, which is, even if everything the right wing claims is true is true, these bonuses amount to mere pennies on the dollar. Although the net effect of the tax cuts is going to be at least $1.5 trillion over the next ten years, the gross is $5.5 trillion in tax cuts with $4 trllion in tax increases. Of the $5.5 trillion gross tax cuts, according to the Committee for a Responsible Budget, the amount of the corporate tax cuts is $2.2 trillion over 10 years. Which means that on average, corporations will receive tax cuts of $220 billion per year.
How does that compare to the bonuses? Well even if the 3 million figure is true and even if the $1000 per worker is true, that comes out to $3 billion. Which is 1.3%. So even if all the right wing boosting is true, workers will get 1.3 cents on the dollar for one year, and corporations will get 98.7 cents on the dollar this year and 100 cents on the dollar if they don’t continue the raises.
I think when people talk about the tax cuts flowing to workers, they are not expecting a paltry 1.3 cents on the dollar. I’m pretty sure some of the Trump folks have claimed that “most” of the corporate tax cuts would go to workers, which would be $110 billion. So at about $3 billion, we are 2.6% of the way there! Hooray! We just need to multiply the number of corporations of comparable size giving out raises of comparable size to a comparable number of workers by a factor of 40. No problem!
Of course, my pedantic math is obvious to most of you. It should be obvious to the right wing but to many of them, it’s not. This general problem with understanding scale permeates our economic debates.